The post Bitcoin halving cycle history challenges $300,000–$500,000 moonshot forecasts appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt anticipates a peak between $300,000 and $500,000. Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra expect prices to hit $500,000 by 2029, citing booming demand for spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Reality check However, while the four-year cycles have consistently produced new all-time highs, the reality of this cycle is different. As bitcoin grows, matures, and becomes more valuable, it takes significantly more capital to push it meaningfully higher. The track record of cycle highs proves it: 2013: $266 2017: nearly ~$20,000 (75x from previous high) 2021: ~$69,000 (3.5x from 2017) 2025: $126,000 (just 1.8x from 2021) What this means is that bull runs are getting steadier, with more measured gains rather than moonshots. If this trend continues, the next peak may fall well short of the anticipated $300,000 to $500,000 levels. (A ral
The post Bitcoin Reclaims $64K on Oil-Driven Risk Rebound appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin News Bitcoin (BTC) pushed back above the $64,000 mark this weekend as a retreat in oil prices revived risk appetite across markets. Some analysts are already modelling ambitious targets for the next cycle, with veteran trader Peter Brandt anticipating a peak between $300,000 and $500,000 and Bernstein strategists citing $500,000 by 2029 on the back of spot exchange-traded fund demand. Our reading of the data urges caution: while Bitcoin has set a fresh record after every halving, the peak-to-peak multiples keep shrinking, and the deeper, more liquid market that ETFs create may temper the parabolic moves that defined earlier cycles. The immediate catalyst was a sharp unwind in crude. Brent briefly topped $76 a barrel mid-week on renewed Middle East tensions before sliding back toward the low $70s, easing inflation fears and lifting equities alongside crypto. As BTC rallied more than 2%
The post Bitcoin Treasury Firm Empery Digital Sells 1,400 BTC for $87 Million appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin News Nasdaq-listed Empery Digital has offloaded nearly half of its Bitcoin (BTC) reserves, selling 1,400 BTC since May 7 for roughly $87.1 million in gross proceeds, according to a recent SEC filing. The company sold at an average price near $62,200 per coin, directing $10 million toward retiring debt on July 7 and earmarking the remainder for a $65 million Midwest AI data-center stake and mounting legal costs from shareholder litigation. As of July 10, the firm held 1,514 BTC — worth close to $96.5 million — alongside about $73.9 million in cash, with $45 million still outstanding on its debt facility. Coverage of the entity continues on our Bitcoin hub. On-chain analysts frame the current phase as a slow, grinding bottom rather than a sharp capitulation. One prominent on-chain researcher argued that after February’s price-driven capitulation, Bitcoin has entered
The post Bitcoin’s Clearest Macro Risk: A Yen Carry-Trade Reversal at 162 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin News Bitcoin (BTC) faces its clearest near-term macro threat from a reversal of the Japanese yen carry trade, analysts warned, as the currency hovers near 162 to the dollar at a four-decade low. The carry trade — borrowing cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding risk assets such as tech stocks and Bitcoin — has powered global liquidity for years. With the 10-year Japanese government bond yield printing fresh highs, a sudden yen rebound could tighten that liquidity abruptly and force leveraged positions to unwind. Traders describe this as a live risk for a market still searching for a durable floor, one that could push assets toward a bear market if conditions flip. A research team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou argued that the single biggest structural risk to Bitcoin is not Strategy trimming its holdings, but the direction of institutional blockchain adoption. Banks and
The post ‘The stacking continues,’ says unfazed Eric Trump despite $600M Bitcoin venture wipeout appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Eric Trump’s stake in Bitcoin mining and treasury firm American Bitcoin Corp. has been devalued by about $600 million, according to a Bloomberg report. He owns about 6% of the firm and doubles as American Bitcoin’s Chief Strategy Officer. His brother, Donald Trump Jr., also owns an undisclosed stake in the firm. Amid the broader crypto downturn, the firm’s stock, ABTC, has plunged by 97%, crashing from September 2025’s peak of $217 to a record low of $5.98. This week alone, it dumped by over 29%. Source: ABTC, TradingView The massive stock dump forced the firm to launch a 1-for-5 reverse stock split on 2nd of July to remain listed on the Nasdaq. A company’s stock must maintain a minimum bid price of $1 to remain listed on the exchange. In fact, Nakamoto, another Bitcoin treasury firm, was forced to opt for a stock split to avoid a similar delisting.
The post Bitcoin Bulls Eye $59,000 As Relief Rally Runs Into A Real Resistance Test appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin Bulls Eye $59,000 As Relief Rally Runs Into A Real Resistance Test
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The post Morgan Stanley Targets Ethereum and Solana ETF Market Share Amid Intensifying Fee Competition appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Key Takeaways Morgan Stanley’s ethereum and solana filings extend the bank’s proprietary crypto ETF strategy beyond its existing Bitcoin fund. The proposed pricing suggests crypto ETFs are shifting from product novelty toward competition for investor assets. Both trusts would include staking and institutional custody but remain preliminary offerings without confirmed launch dates. Why the Crypto ETF Market May Be Entering a Commodity Phase Morgan Stanley’s proposed ethereum and solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) would enter a market where issuers increasingly offer similar exposure to the same assets. The firm recently amended both filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to include a 0.14% management fee, below Grayscale’s 0.15% and Franklin Templeton’s 0.19%. The narrow spread signals intensifying price competition. Brian R
The post Cryptocurrencies Show Glimmers of Hope After Market Turbulence appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, XRP, and Shiba Inu are beginning to exhibit signs of potential recovery after experiencing significant market downturns. While they each face crucial resistance levels, the outcome of these tests could indicate whether recent price movements will lead to prolonged rebounds or remain brief improvements. Continue Reading:Cryptocurrencies Show Glimmers of Hope After Market Turbulence Source: https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/cryptocurrencies-show-glimmers-of-hope-after-market-turbulence
Morgan Stanley is positioning its proposed ethereum and solana ETFs to capture market share as competition intensifies, combining direct token exposure, staking rewards and institutional custody while the registration statements await effectiveness. Why the Crypto ETF Market May Be Entering a Commodity Phase Morgan Stanley’s proposed ethereum and solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) would enter a […]