The post British Pound: Upside risk toward resistance against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD’s sharp rebound has left scope to test major resistance at 1.3445, though a clear break is seen as unlikely in the near term. Short-term support lies at 1.3390 and 1.3360. Over one to three weeks, strengthened momentum could open 1.3480 if 1.3445 gives way, while broader ranges dominate over months. Pound testing key resistance band “24-HOUR VIEW: GBP fell to 1.3315 on Wednesday and then rebounded strongly. When GBP was at 1.3390 in the early Asian session yesterday, we highlighted that “the sharp rebound appears to be overdone, but there is a chance for GBP to test 1.3420 before the risk of a pullback increases.” We added, “the major resistance at 1.3445 is unlikely to come into view.” GBP then rose to 1.3430, pulled back to 1.3381 before moving back up to close at 1.3409 (+0.14%). While there has been no clear increase in upward
The post Gold: Tentative stabilisation on oil relief – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong highlight that Gold has rebounded as Oil prices eased, reducing inflation and Fed tightening concerns, while a softer US Dollar also supported the move. However, ETF holdings remain lower month-to-date, suggesting the recovery is more relief-driven than a decisive return of investor demand. Near term, Gold could trade with a better tone if Oil and yields stay contained. Relief-driven recovery in Gold “Gold. Tentative stabilisation on oil relief. Gold rebounded as oil prices eased from their recent spike, taking some pressure off inflation expectations, yields and Fed tightening concerns. A softer USD also helped the recovery, after the recent selloff across the precious metals complex.” “But ETF flows have yet to confirm a broader investor rebuild. Bloomberg data show total known gold ETF holdings remain lower month-to-date, even though ho
The post New Zealand Dollar eases from three-week highs near 0.5800 as the US Dollar bounces up appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is giving away gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, trading at the 0.5775 area after hitting fresh three-week highs at 0.5794 earlier on the day. The pair, however, is on track for a 1% weekly appreciation, boosted by a hawkish hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) earlier this week. The US Dollar trims losses in a calm Friday European trading session as investors ponder rumours about diplomatic efforts by mediators to bring the US and Iran back to the negotiating table. Rival countries halted their hostilities on Friday after a series of tit-for-tat attacks earlier on the week, although the key Strait of Hormuz remains practically closed, which is keeping investors’ appetite for risk subdued. Earlier on the week, the RBNZ hiked its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.5% and hinted at further mone
The post US Dollar: Geopolitics faded as markets eye rates – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) has been broadly unchanged despite renewed Middle East tensions, as Oil has retraced and risk sentiment improved. He highlights that fading geopolitical risk keeps focus on front-end rate differentials, which have moved against the Dollar in some cases. ING sees upside risks for the Dollar but expects only limited DXY reaction if Oil stays contained. Dollar sidelined by rate focus “Markets are taking a decisively optimistic stance on fresh US-Iran tensions. Multiple reports indicate traffic in Hormuz has dropped to almost zero in the past couple of days, and we have seen effectively no intent of de-escalation from either party.” “The 2-year USD swap rate has erased roughly half of the 10bp jump after the re-escalation – 35bp of tightening is currently priced in for December.” “The dollar is seeing no benefits from this situation. Fading
The post Canadian Dollar: Firmer against US Dollar – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Societe Generale strategists highlight that USD/CAD is tactically expensive versus the 2-year spread and has recently met resistance near 1.4250 before retracing toward 1.4130. They view this area as potential support but warn that a break lower could trigger a deeper pullback toward 1.4075 and the 50-DMA near 1.3950, framing near-term downside risks for the pair. Key support eyed near 1.4130 “USD/CAD encountered interim resistance around 1.4250 last month and has since retraced toward the upper boundary of its previous broad consolidation range near 1.4130, which could serve as a potential support.” “It will be interesting to observe whether the pair can hold above this support.” “Should a break below 1.4130 materialize, USD/CAD may embark on a deeper pullback.” “The next objectives could be located at projections of 1.4075, followed by the 50-DMA near 1.3950.” “USD/CAD expensive
The post Euro: Yield spreads hint at recovery against US Dollar – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that European Central Bank (ECB) minutes added little new information but confirmed openness to another rate hike, consistent with MUFG’s call for a 25bp move in September. Despite the Euro being July’s weakest G10 currency, a turning 2-year yield spread and potential US yield declines could support renewed EUR/USD upside in coming weeks. ECB stance and yields guide Euro outlook “The ECB will be certainly less concerned over longer-term inflation expectations becoming un-anchored with the 5y5y inflation swap rate having declined since the initial ceasefire was agreed.” “If crude oil and/or natural gas prices were to rebound sharply then risks will rise of course but at this point longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.” “In that context we see continued risks of the ECB acting again consistent with our current forecast of another
The post British Pound retreats from multi-year highs as JPY strengthens appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The GBP/JPY cross attracted heavy selling on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak to the highest level since January 2008, around the 218.00 mark set the previous day. The intraday descent drags spot prices below the 217.00 mark during the first half of the European session amid a broadly firmer Japanese Yen (JPY). The Japanese Yen (JPY) rallies across the board after Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said that the government plans to encourage pension funds to increase their holdings of domestic financial assets. She added that the government anticipates gradual increases in interest rates as it pursues a proactive fiscal policy stance, and that she wants to speed up discussions on expanding JGB products aimed specifically at households. A larger and steadier base of long-horizon domestic buyers could help absorb increased bond issuance tied to Japan’s fiscal expa
The post British Pound surrenders early gains as US Dollar regains ground appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The British Pound (GBP) gives back its early gains and turns almost flat around 1.3410 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The GBP/USD pair falls back as the US Dollar regains ground amid fears that the restart of the war between the United States (US) and Iran would last long. US Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Japanese Yen. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD -0.02% -0.03% -0.44% -0.00% -0.04% -0.21% -0.06% EUR 0.02% -0.01% -0.41% 0.02% -0.03% -0.19% -0.04% GBP 0.03% 0.01% -0.39% 0.03% -0.02% -0.17% -0.04% JPY 0.44% 0.41% 0.39% 0.44% 0.40% 0.21% 0.36% CAD 0.00% -0.02% -0.03% -0.44% -0.04% -0.21% -0.07% AUD 0.04% 0.03% 0.02% -0.40% 0.04% -0.17% -0.06% NZD 0.21% 0.19% 0.17% -0.21% 0.21% 0.17% 0.13% CHF 0.06% 0.04%
The post USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dollar finds resistance at the 161.75 previous support appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The US Dollar (USD) holds losses below 161.75 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday following a 100-pip reversal earlier on the day. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama announced a plan to boost pension funds’ investment in domestic assets, which sent the Yen surging across the board during the Asian trading session. Katayama said on Friday that the government wants the giant Japanese pension funds, which manage more than USD 1.8 trillion in assets, to redirect their investment into the domestic market. The market has seen this plan as more effective than interventions to support the Yen, and the immediate reaction was a strong JPY recovery. The US Dollar, on the other hand, remains moderately soft, amid rumours that Qatar and Pakistan are working to bring US and Iran back to the negotiating table. Beyond that, the release of the minutes of June’s Feder