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The post BTC inflation quagmire gets sticker as renewed Iran conflict sends oil price soaring: Crypto Daily appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Will the Fed focus on the breakevens, which are already at or below 2% at the short end, or on rising consumer concerns? The Fed itself tends to trust breakevens because they reflect institutional capital allocation, while consumer surveys frequently lag behind and can be heavily influenced by volatile everyday costs like energy and food. Hence, the argument that falling breakevens are bullish for bitcoin still holds. But the central bank may not entirely ignore Main Street sentiment, which can become self-reinforcing, especially if catalysts like energy prices remain volatile. And guess what? The U.S.-Iran ceasefire has collapsed. The two sides exchanged airstrikes early today, triggering a roughly 5% jump in oil benchmarks. Bitcoin has fallen back to $62,000 and may drop further if the panic spreads to Wall Street later today. Analysts are a
Read full articleContinued talks may ease tensions temporarily, but uncertainty over U.S. endorsement and Iran's commitments could hinder lasting resolutions. The post Trump permits continued Iran talks amid nuclear tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. She suggests limited scope for further hikes but growing risk of earlier rate cuts, leaving USD more vulnerable to negative data than supported by positive surprises. Fed uncertainty weighs on Dollar outlook “Nevertheless, in my view, the risks are asymmetrically distributed. Despite the hawkish surprise at the start of his tenure, the risk is likely growing that, in the face of weak data and falling inflation, Warsh will want to cut interest rates faster and more aggressively. Even if the USD is likely to hold up well for now, it will probably suffer more from weak data than it will appreciate from positive data.” “This is because there is hardly any room for expectations of further rate hikes amid fa
Heightened US-Iran tensions may destabilize Iran's leadership perception, impacting market confidence and geopolitical dynamics. The post Trump signals renewed US military actions amid 2026 Iran War escalation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Trump's unilateral action hints could destabilize US-Iran relations, impacting global markets and diplomatic efforts for a peaceful resolution. The post Trump hints at unilateral US action amid Iran negotiation uncertainty appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Bitcoin Hasn’t Fully Capitulated Yet: Analysts Warn of Lower Levels Ahead appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. What does BTC’s latest rejection mean for the asset’s upcoming price moves? There’s a lot that’s not going bitcoin’s way at the moment, but we will delve into that in a moment. For this intro, we will just suggest that BTC might actually be performing better than expected, at least for now. However, the latest rejection at $64,000 could spell more trouble ahead, and here are the new bearish targets set by Ali Martinez and Ted Pillows. No Bottom Yet Just think about it – the war was essentially just restarted today as Iran and the US launched new strikes against each other, Strategy sold more than 3,500 BTC, recent reports suggested a major miner capitulation, AI continues to extract capital out of crypto markets, the BTC ETFs bled over $8 billion in two months, the Fed doesn’t seem inclined to lower the rates soon, and yet, the cryptocurrency still trades above $60,
Prolonged inflation may strain U.S. economic stability, complicate diplomatic efforts, and limit Federal Reserve's policy flexibility through 2027. The post Iran war to drive US inflation through 2027, IMF warns appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Strategy Bitcoin Sale Leaves $1.25B Plan Intact. appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Strategy’s $135M BTC sale was separate from its $1.25B monetization framework. The company sold 3,588 BTC to support preferred stock dividend obligations. VanEck says Strategy may retain more Bitcoin selling capacity than expected. VanEck says Strategy’s recent $135 million Bitcoin sale did not reduce its $1.25 billion BTC Monetization Program, keeping the full capacity available. Strategy’s latest Bitcoin transaction has drawn attention after VanEck’s digital asset research head clarified that the sale occurred outside the company’s authorized monetization framework. The distinction could affect how investors assess Strategy’s future Bitcoin selling capacity and treasury strategy. Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale Left Monetization Capacity Unchanged According to VanEck digital assets research head Matthew Sigel, Strategy’s approximately $135 million Bitcoin sale did not reduce its $1.25 billion BTC
The post Oil: Conflict-driven volatility and positioning – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights growing fragility in global markets as President Trump declares the Iran ceasefire over and U.S. strikes in the Strait of Hormuz reignite Oil volatility. Brent, WTI and Middle Eastern benchmarks have jumped around 5%, yet inflation expectations remain intact and positioning data show core energy and inflation hedges in place, limiting broader disruption for now. Ceasefire doubts lift crude benchmarks “Markets are starting to look fragile. President Trump is now openly questioning the durability of the ceasefire, while exchanges of fire in the Strait of Hormuz are intensifying. For markets and the global economy, the prospect of a swift return to pre-conflict energy and goods flows through the waterway is fading.” “The immediate oil reaction has been significant, roughly 5%, depending on the benchmark, but not yet large enough to derail the improvement in inflati
