Canadian Dollar steady as trade surplus, Fed outlook cap USD/CAD

The post New Zealand Dollar weakens amid firm US Dollar, RBNZ eyed appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. NZD/USD trades around 0.5685 at the time of writing on Tuesday, down 0.26% on the day. The pair remains under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) attracts renewed demand following fresh geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, while investors await the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) monetary policy decision. According to Bloomberg, citing a US official, Iran fired at least two missiles at commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz late Monday. Two ships sustained significant damage without any reported casualties, while the UK Maritime Trade Operations also confirmed that a tanker was struck by an unidentified projectile. The escalation in tensions has supported safe-haven flows and strengthened the US Dollar. Meanwhile, expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy continue to evolve following the recent slowdown in the US labor market. Investors now expect the F

The post British Pound slips as Hormuz attacks revive USD demand appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Pound Sterling (GBP) retreats against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as tensions in the Middle East rise, following reports of attacks on two ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3373, down 0.11%. GBP/USD falls as Oil spike lifts Fed hike worries The Greenback remains steady after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) attacked ships that attempted to pass through the Omani route, ignoring the IRGC’s repeated warnings. These developments underpinned Oil prices and consequently the US Dollar, as high energy prices could force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise interest rates. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the buck’s performance against six currencies, is up 0.05% at 100.93. Data from the US showed that the trade deficit widened in May, driven by a jump in imports and a decline in exports. The Goods and Services Trade Balance deficit came a

The post Canada: Trade surplus widens as investment rises – RBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canada’s merchandise trade surplus increased to $4.2 billion in May from $3.4 billion in April, as exports grew and imports slipped. They highlight weaker energy price support, falling export volumes, and rising industrial machinery imports as signs of shifting demand and improving business investment within an uncertain trade environment. Surplus grows as volumes soften “Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened to $4.2 billion in May from $3.4 billion in April (revised upward from $2.7B), as exports rose 0.9% while imports declined 0.2%.” “Still, monthly trade data are heavily influenced by commodity prices and individual product categories, making it important to look beyond headline values when assessing underlying conditions.” “Export volumes excluding price effects fell 0.5% in May, providing a clearer rea

The post Euro: Upside bias against US Dollar as ECB repriced – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the US Dollar (USD) but supported by a sharp recovery in yield spreads and stronger German industrial production. Renewed hawkishness from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is lifting Euro area rate expectations. They see near-term upside for EUR/USD, with technicals pointing to a drift toward 1.15 within a 1.1400–1.1500 range and limited resistance before 1.1580. Hawkish ECB supports Euro “Bearish/neutral – the recovery in the RSI is important, reflecting a clear fade in bearish momentum and a drift back toward the neutral threshold around 50. The near-term balance of risk appears to favor gains and a drift toward 1.15 and we note the absence of any material resistance ahead of 1.1580. The medium-term trend is flat, and we look to a near-term range bound between 1.1400

The post Wintermute Cautions ‘Relief Rally’ Likely as Bitcoin Touches Highest Price in Weeks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief Wintermute believes recent Bitcoin and crypto price action is a clear relief rally, or short-term price recovery. The market maker pointed to rising ETF inflows, macro easing, and a dovish Fed tone as contributing variables. Bitcoin has jumped more than nearly 10% in the last week, but is still down nearly 50% from October’s peak. Bitcoin has jumped nearly 10% in the last week of trading, recently changing hands at $64,023 after touching a two-week high above $64,500 on Monday. But market-making firm Wintermute says it’s still “somewhat cautious,” suggesting the recent price jump is more of a relief rally than a structural shift. In other words, the firm believes this is a temporary or short-term recovery as opposed to a significant, fundamental shift in the market. “This looks like a textbook relief rally, and it makes sense given the input,” the f

The post Australian Dollar falls amid cautious Fedspeak appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AUD/USD declines toward 0.6940 as the Australian Dollar (AUD) loses momentum, while the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by cautious remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and lingering uncertainty over inflation. The latest United States (US) labor data showed that the ADP Employment Change 4-week average eased to 21K from 24.25K, pointing to a softer pace of private hiring. The figure suggests that labor market momentum is cooling, which could normally weigh on the Greenback. However, the USD held firm as investors remained cautious ahead of more important US data and continued to price in a data-dependent Fed stance. New York Fed President John Williams said the US economy is showing steady trend-like growth and that the job market remains stable. However, he warned that inflation is still quite high, keeping pressure on the Fed to maintain a restrictive policy stance. Williams added that m

The post Swiss Franc eases as hawkish Fed outlook supports US Dollar appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. USD/CHF holds modest gains on Tuesday as traders balance softer US labor market data against hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, keeping the US Dollar (USD) range-bound. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.8066, remaining on the front foot for a second consecutive day. Recent US labor market data have come in softer than expected, pointing to a gradual cooling after showing signs of improvement earlier this year. The four-week average of the ADP Employment Change eased to 21K from 24.25K. This follows last week’s disappointing June Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which showed the US economy added just 57K jobs, well below market expectations of 110K. The softer labor market data have prompted traders to scale back expectations of a near-term Fed rate hike. However, Fed officials continue to stress that inflation remains a concern. New York Fed President John

The post Japanese Yen: Near historic lows against US Dollar – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Japanese Yen (JPY) as the best-performing G10 currency on the day, though gains versus the US Dollar (USD) are marginal. Wage data disappointed but remains historically elevated, while USD/JPY trades just below its highest level since 1986 around 162.80. The RSI has eased from overbought territory but stays firmly bullish near 60, underscoring still-strong upside momentum. Yen stabilizes but trend still strong “The yen is outperforming all of the G10 currencies into Tuesday’s NA session, despite its marginal 0.1% gain vs. the USD.” “The stabilization is welcome following Monday’s decline that had had almost fully retraced last week’s (allegedly intervention-driven) rally.” “Labor cash earnings (wage) data released overnight disappointed relative to expectations while remaining elevated at the upper end of their