The rise in scams impersonating CFTC officials highlights the urgent need for increased public awareness and stronger cybersecurity measures.
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The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) market and clearing divisions issued no-action relief for fully collateralized event contracts, easing certain swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations for prediction market operators and clearing organizations. The divisions said Wednesday that they will not recommend enforcement against designated contract markets (DCMs), derivatives clearing organizations (DCOs), or their participants for failing to comply with specified swap-related recordkeeping requirements or for failing to report covered transactions to swap data repositories. Event contracts on prediction markets technically qualify as “swaps” as they are based on binary events. However, the letter argued that similar contracts are listed for trade by DCMs and have more similar characteristics to futures and options on futures, hence enabling firms to repor
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts. CFTC Issues Blanket No-Action Letter Cutting SDR Reporting for Event Contracts The CFTC‘s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk jointly announced […]
Prediction market platform Myriad has adopted Chainlink infrastructure to automate and settle crypto prediction markets with near real-time payouts, starting with BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL markets. According to Myriad, the integration brings Chainlink Data Streams and the Chainlink Runtime…
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Most people entering a prediction market are working with incomplete information. They see a question, a set of outcomes, and current odds shaped by whoever placed money before them. That is not analysis, that is crowd sentiment dressed up as a signal. Poly Truth is built around a different premise: before you commit to a position, you should know what the data actually says. The project describes itself as a prediction market intelligence tool, one that automates the research process and delivers probability-backed insights on active events across sports, politics, crypto, and beyond. How Poly Truth Approaches Prediction Market Research The core idea is straightforward. Prediction markets move fast, and useful data is scattered across dozens of sources. Manually tracking all of it before an event closes is not realistic for most participants. Poly Truth automates that
Prediction market platforms such as Polymarket regularly observe millions in volume on most of their events, ranging from election outcomes to crypto price targets. That said, one persistent problem remains: most participants are essentially just guessing. They pick a side based on brief research, gut instinct, social media noise, or whatever narrative may feel more […]