CFTC plans new prediction market rules that could affect Polymarket and Kalshi

The CFTC's regulatory review could redefine prediction markets, impacting blockchain integration, insider trading prevention, and sports betting. The post CFTC seeks public comment on prediction market event contracts framework appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Proposed CFTC rules would forbid markets where an outcome could be impacted by war or assassination, even when conflict isn’t mentioned.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war, gaming, or other restricted activities under federal law. The move replaces an approach that prior CFTC leadership had tried and failed to advance. In 2024, […]

The CFTC's proposal could reshape prediction markets, limiting speculative trading on sensitive geopolitical events and impacting market dynamics. The post Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposes crackdown on prediction markets tied to war, terrorism, and assassination appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Kalshi's new rules force traders to disclose their employers before trading high-risk markets flagged for insider trading or manipulation.

Kalshi launches XRP perpetual futures for U.S. traders, adding regulated cash-settled exposure with no fixed expiration and flexible access.

Prediction market accuracy has suffered under both weak and excessive insider trading enforcement, according to a new academic study that argued a complete ban could leave markets less informative. According to a June 2 research paper by Balbinder Singh Gill,…

Kalshi has introduced mandatory employer disclosures for certain traders and expanded its market surveillance program after reporting more than 150 investigations, over 100 blocked insider-trading attempts, and 20 law-enforcement referrals during the first quarter of 2026. According to a company…