Fed: Divergent inflation paths shape rate outlook – Societe Generale

The post Fed’s Williams: Inflation is still ‘far too high’ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said in the Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop in New York on Thursday that inflation remains “far too high,” while stressing that policymakers are actively debating different inflation scenarios as energy prices, artificial intelligence investment and productivity trends shape the outlook. Key takeaways: Inflation is still “far too high,” keeping the Federal Reserve focused on the risks to price stability. Markets still expect Oil prices to decline over the next six to 12 months. Monetary policy remains focused on how energy prices feed through into inflation. AI investment is currently driving inflation, adding to demand and cost pressure. The Fed is actively debating various inflation scenarios as uncertainty remains elevated. Williams said the latest Fed Minutes captured a “collective reaction function,” refl

The post Equities: Growth downgrades and rotation theme – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has trimmed its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.0%, with uneven impacts across energy exporters, tech economies and low-income importers, influencing global equities. The disinflation trend appears stalled as headline inflation is projected to re-accelerate before easing. Yu sees markets wrestling with stretched valuations, fading momentum and a shift from acceleration to consolidation. IMF downgrades and stagflation concerns “The International Monetary Fund has inched its 2026 global growth forecast down again to a sluggish 3.0%. Growth is projected to rebound to 3.4% in 2027, but that is still below ‌the average of 3.5% seen in 2024 and 2025.” “Global headline inflation is seen rising from 4.1% in 2025 to 4.7% in 2026 before easing to 3.9% in 2027, suggesting the disinflation trend has stalled.” “Stagflation risks remain in pro

The post Confirmed: ECB Accounts reveal growing concerns over inflation risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks. The discussions show a consensus within the Governing Council that the risks surrounding the inflation outlook are skewed to the upside relative to the ECB staff’s baseline projections. The accounts indicate that headline inflation is expected to rise further over the summer and remain well above the 2% target through the first half of 2027. This outlook comes despite the projections already embedding almost three 25-basis-point interest rate hikes. Policymakers also noted that the outlook could prove even more challenging if energy prices do not decline in line with futures market expectations. Under that scenario, above-target inflation would likely become considerably more persistent. Th

AI-driven inflation could necessitate higher interest rates, impacting economic growth and potentially altering investment strategies. The post Federal Reserve Bank of New York president warns AI demand could drive inflation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Prolonged inflation control efforts may sustain pressure on risk assets, affecting investment strategies and economic growth projections. The post Federal Reserve’s Williams emphasizes restoring inflation to 2% target, signaling prolonged pressure on risk assets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Fed blames AI boom for rising inflation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As crypto traders brace for zero Federal funds rate cuts in 2026, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Meeting Minutes for June, released on July 8, show the Fed is wary of the AI (Artificial Intelligence) boom regarding rising inflation. According to the latest Fed’s FOMC report, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, the ongoing AI stocks boom has contributed to rising inflation. The Fed’s FOMC, analyzed by Finbold on July 9, shows the Fed under Chair Warsh is concerned about the AI buildout. Furthermore, the Fed noted that the notable investments in AI stocks, amid the conflict in the Middle East, has impacted asset prices. As such, the Fed is titled hawkish in the near term, with some members signaling a potential Federal rate hike in 2026. However, the Fed commended the memorandum between the United States and Iran, noting that it has lowered inflation amid rising risks of an AI stock market cras

The post AI markets bounced despite war risk – Can it hold? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Markets had two problems to digest: the FOMC minutes and a fresh wave of war headlines. The first event may already have been priced in, as it is merely a summary of the previous Fed meeting – traders already knew the Fed was not rushing back into rate cuts. The bigger pressure came from renewed geopolitical risk, which pushed oil and yields back into focus and hit risk sentiment early in the session. Yet the AI markets have been recovering. That suggests that risks were largely priced in. Nasdaq/US two-year yield ratio is range-bound The cleaner chart is USTEC/US02Y on the 4H timeframe. It shows whether Nasdaq strength is improving relative to front-end yield pressure. The ratio bounced from the lower end of its recent range, but it is now reacting near the 100 EMA band. That makes the next move important. A push back above the range midline near 7,200 would suggest the AI bounce is gainin

A robust labor market delays potential rate cuts, maintaining tighter financial conditions and impacting broader economic and crypto sectors. The post US weekly jobless claims fall to 215,000, signaling steady labor market that complicates rate cut hopes appeared first on Crypto Briefing.