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The post Fed: Later cuts as inflation persists – Rabobank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rabobank’s Senior US Strategist Philip Marey updates his United States (US) and Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook, highlighting a shift by the FOMC away from an easing bias ahead of Warsh’s first meeting. Marey notes that developments in the Middle East are likely to keep energy prices elevated. As a result, Rabobank now expects the first Fed rate cut in October 2026 and a second in January 2027, later than previously forecast. FOMC shifts and delayed rate cuts “In recent weeks, the FOMC seems to have moved further toward dropping its easing bias, with several Committee participants staking out their position before Warsh’s first meeting.” “Meanwhile, the developments in the Middle East suggest that energy prices will remain elevated for longer.” “With our outlook for inflation higher and more persistent and the FOMC taking defensive positions against the new Chair, we now change our Fed view.” “
Read full articleThe escalating US-Iran tensions risk destabilizing global oil supply and financial markets, complicating diplomatic efforts for peace. The post US strikes Iranian air defenses and drone site as Hormuz tensions rattle crypto markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Euro wavers amid mixed Eurozone data, rising geopolitical tensions appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro (EUR) holds marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, although the EUR/USD pair remains steady right below the top of the last two weeks’ range, at the 1.1660 area. Mixed Eurozone data and the rising tensions in the Middle East are weighing on risk appetite and acting as headwinds for the common currency. The US and Iran exchanged strikes earlier on Monday, adding strain to an already frail ceasefire, while Israel ramped up its operations in Lebanon, complicating the situation further. The US President Donald Trump is still due to sign a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire for 60 days. In Iran, the Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf threatened retaliation in a post on X to “clear evidence of US noncompliance with the ceasefire.” In Europe, the HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) was revised up to 51.6 in
The US strikes risk destabilizing global shipping routes and could lead to increased military involvement, impacting regional stability. The post US strikes Iranian military sites, escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Czech Koruna: Polish CPI surprise complicates CNB path – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that a downside surprise in Poland’s May flash Consumer Price Index (CPI) contrasts with earlier Czech inflation acceleration that had pointed to Czech National Bank (CNB) tightening on 18 June. Softer Polish food and energy prices may foreshadow similar moderation in Czech data. This interplay makes the upcoming CNB decision more finely balanced as regional inflation dynamics shift. Polish CPI twist for Czech policy “On Friday, we wrote about the clear acceleration of Czech CPI and PPI in April, which puts pressure on the Czech National Bank (CNB) to hike rates at their 18 June meeting.” “Since then, however, Poland’s flash CPI report for May landed as a clear downside surprise. This will cool off any lingering discussion about near-term tightening by the Polish central bank (NBP) at least.” “We can see that the broader trends have bee
The post Iran’s Ghalibaf: US naval blockade and attacks on Lebanon are violation to ceasefire appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has stated through a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that the United States (US) naval blockade on Iranian sea ports and Israeli attacks on Lebanon could have severe consequences. “The naval blockade and escalation of war crimes in Lebanon by the genocidal Zionist regime are clear evidence of U.S. noncompliance with the ceasefire. Every choice has a price, and the bill comes due. It will all fall into place,” MB Ghalibaf wrote. Risk sentiment FAQs In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off” refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worr
The post Eurozone Unemployment Rate registered at 6.3% above expectations (6.2%) in April appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. GBP/USD struggles to capitalize on its goodish recovery from a one-and-a-half-week low, touched last Thursday, and trades cautiously above mid-1.3400s at the start of a new week. The US Dollar regains some positive traction amid the uncertainty over a potential US-Iran peace deal and hawkish US Federal Reserve bets. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the pair ahead of the US ISM PMI data. Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eurozone-unemployment-rate-registered-at-63-above-expectations-62-in-april-202606010900
The post United States Dollar Index (DXY) Price Forecast: Hesitation around 99.00 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar (USD) shows marginal gains on Monday, with risk appetite fading as tensions in the Middle East escalate and oil prices rise. The US Dollar Index (DXY), however, keeps trading in the lower range of the last two weeks’ trading band, with price action struggling to find acceptance above 99.00 ahead of a string of key US macroeconomic releases. Fresh skirmishes between the US and Iran have increased concerns about a fragile ceasefire, while US President Donald Trump is still considering signing a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire for another 60 days. Furthermore, Israel has ramped up its operations in Lebanon, adding pressure to an already strained truce. On the macroeconomic front, the US has a busy calendar ahead, starting with the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report, due later today. These figures will frame
The post US Dollar: Stable tone as markets eye data and Warsh – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar is broadly stable at the start of June as markets watch US-Iran negotiations and a busy US data calendar. He highlights that a confirmed deal could allow the Federal Reserve to look through the energy shock, but stronger inflation data would complicate this and could still weigh on the Dollar via a dovish Warsh-led Fed. Dollar steadies into key US data “The US dollar is broadly stable as we start a new month with no sign of the key breakthrough needed in order to have a formal ceasefire extension agreement reached.” “But as usual, the start of a new month brings with it a lot of the key economic data prints in the US. If a deal is announced and confirmed by President Trump there may well be a greater willingness amongst Fed officials to look through the energy price shock. Still, the extent in which the crude oil price declines further will
