Iraq's output collapsed to 1.39M bpd amid US-Iran conflict, down from 4.1M bpd. Crude oil all-time high by Sept 30 at 26.5% YES.
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The post USD/CAD Forecast: Holding near 1.3800 as strong supply zone caps gains appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The USD/CAD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day on Tuesday and holds steady near the 1.3800 mark through the first half of the European session. Mixed signals over a potential US-Iran peace deal revive demand for the safe-haven US Dollar (USD), acting as a tailwind for the currency pair. However, a goodish recovery in Crude Oil prices underpin the commodity-linked Loonie and cap spot prices. From a technical perspective, the USD/CAD pair hovers just below the 1.3810-1.3815 confluence – comprising the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the November 2025-January 2026 downfall and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tight overhead resistance suggests upside attempts remain vulnerable while those levels cap on a closing basis, despite improving momentum indicators. In fact, the Relative Strength Index sits around 63, and t
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EUR/CAD depreciates after four days of losses, trading around 1.6060 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross loses ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains firm amid higher crude oil prices. It is important to note that Canada is one of the world’s largest producers and exporters of crude oil, with its energy sector making up a massive portion of its economy. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price gains ground after four days of losses, trading around $92.50 per barrel at the time of writing. Crude oil prices advance on renewed supply concerns after the United States (US) forces conducted self-defense strikes in southern Iran on Monday. A US Central Command spokesperson said that the strikes targeted missile launch sites and Iranian vessels attempting to deploy mines. While the US military emphasized its commitment to protecting its forces and
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EUR/CAD extends its winning streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 1.6080 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross is gaining ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles due to lower oil prices, a direct result of Canada’s status as the largest crude exporter to the United States (US). Crude oil prices have dropped as supply fears ease, driven by rising optimism over a potential US-Iran agreement. Reports indicate that the United States and Iran are close to signing a deal involving a 60-day ceasefire extension. Under this proposed agreement, the Strait of Hormuz would be reopened, and Iran would clear mines it deployed in the waterway to allow ships to pass freely. In exchange, the United States would lift its current blockade on Iranian ports. Meanwhile, traders are awaiting speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) po
The post S&P 500’s 8-Week Rally Faces Historical Headwinds From Midterm Year Patterns appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Key Takeaways The S&P 500 has completed its most impressive winning streak since 2023, yet market experts are flagging potential summer weakness. Historical data from Dow Jones Market Data shows the S&P 500 typically loses 2.8% between April and September during midterm election cycles. Crude oil prices climbing toward $110 per barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield reaching a 12-month peak of 4.61% are creating market headwinds. Semiconductor names including Sandisk, Micron, and AMD have experienced declines ranging from 9% to 14% across five trading sessions amid broader concerns. According to Deutsche Bank, a full market correction would require sustained oil shocks, contractionary economic indicators, or aggressive Federal Reserve policy tightening. The S&P 500 has achieved eight consecutive weeks of positive returns — marking its strongest performance streak si
Global rate hikes could stifle economic growth, exacerbate stagflation risks, and strain emerging markets amid persistent inflation pressures.
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The potential US-Iran deal could reshape global oil supply dynamics, influencing inflation, central bank policies, and risk asset valuations.
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Congressional action to limit war powers may reduce unilateral military actions, potentially lowering the risk of US-Iran conflict escalation.
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The mediation efforts could reshape global markets, impacting energy prices, geopolitical stability, and investor sentiment worldwide.
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