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The post Kalshi vs Polymarket 2026: Fees, Markets & US Legality appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Two years ago the choice in the prediction market space was pretty straightforward. Polymarket was the crypto-native platform Americans weren’t meant to touch while Kalshi was the regulated US exchange that played by the book. Fast forward to today and there are multiple other prediction market platforms like Rothera, Predictdotfun, Opinion, Limitless etc that are looking to bite away at the market share. Despite competition ramping up, Kalshi and Polymarket are by far the leaders in terms of volume, number of trades and open interest. The line from two years ago, however, has mostly dissolved. Polymarket now runs a CFTC-licensed US arm and despite Kalshi fighting roughly a dozen states in the US over whether sports contracts count as gambling, the latest numbers on combined trading volume between the two platforms hit $47.5 billion in the month of June alone this year. That’s more tha
Read full articleThe integration of Polymarket data into RCP's election maps could enhance predictive accuracy and influence public perception of electoral outcomes. The post RealClearPolitics adds Polymarket data to its election forecasting maps appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post United States Dollar Index little changed as traders weigh geopolitics and Fed outlook appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades within a volatile range on Friday as a sparse US economic calendar leaves traders watching developments in the Middle East after renewed hostilities between the United States (US) and Iran this week. Even so, the latest flare-up has provided only limited support, with the DXY set to finish the week virtually unchanged. At the time of writing, the index, which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, is trading around 100.85 after slipping to a one-week low of 100.60 earlier in the Asian session. On Friday, US President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post that Iran had asked to continue talks and that the US had agreed, while reiterating that the ceasefire was “over.” The mix of diplomacy and ongoing tensions has kept traders cautious about a quick end to the war. Meanwhile, hawkish Federa
The sanctions highlight the increasing role of digital assets in geopolitical strategies, potentially reshaping global financial compliance norms. The post US sanctions four Iranian crypto exchanges in ‘Economic Fury’ crackdown appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The US diplomatic intervention in Beirut highlights the fragile nature of regional peace efforts and the complex international dynamics at play. The post US sends diplomatic team to Beirut as Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire teeters on the edge appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The concentration of Ethereum nodes in the US and reliance on few cloud providers pose risks to network security and could impact price stability. The post Cambridge research reveals 31% of Ethereum node activity concentrated in the US appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post AUD/USD climbs as Chinese Yuan strength supports the Aussie appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AUD/USD advances toward the 0.6960 area on Friday, supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and renewed strength in the Chinese Yuan (CNY). The pair continues to recover on the four-hour chart, although escalating tensions between the United States (US) and Iran are limiting broader risk appetite. US President Donald Trump said on Truth Social that Iran had requested further negotiations and that Washington had agreed to continue talks. However, Trump warned that the ceasefire was “over,” raising concerns that hostilities could intensify despite diplomatic channels remaining open. Meanwhile, the Chinese Yuan strengthened to a one-week high against the US Dollar, offering additional support to the Australian Dollar given Australia’s close trade ties with China. The move followed a stronger fixing from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), which set the USD/CNY midpoint at 6.7989, below th
The post US Charges Rossen Iossifov in $290K Crypto Laundering Case appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. US charges Rossen Iossifov over an alleged $290K crypto laundering scheme from prison. Prosecutors say forfeited crypto moved through mixers to hinder government recovery. Earlier fraud case tied Iossifov to nearly $5M laundered and 900 US scam victims. Federal prosecutors have filed new criminal charges against Bulgarian national Rossen G. Iossifov, alleging that he conspired to launder approximately $290,000 worth of cryptocurrency that had already been seized and ordered forfeited following his earlier federal fraud conviction. According to the charges, the alleged conspiracy took place in January 2024 while Iossifov was serving a prison sentence in the United States. The case introduces a new chapter in an investigation that began with his conviction for participating in a multinational fraud operation targeting hundreds of American victims. New Indictment Centers on Previously
The post Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 10:11 A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S. Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks Polymarket Reprices “U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027?” After Renewed Attack Headlines On Polymarket, traders put the chance of a “Yes” on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” at 16.5% (No at 83.5%) on $40.25M matched volume, up 5.0 percentage points from 11.5%. The repricing follows reports of renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, and the move shows how the contract reacts to escalation headlines while still pricing “invasion” as the clear minority outcome. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading outcome is No at 83.5%, with Yes at 16.5% for a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027.
