Options traders bet on Federal Reserve overestimating interest rate hikes

The post Euro watches its best arguments sink in the Strait of Hormuz appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro spent Tuesday assembling the sort of case that should buy a currency a bid: hawkish-leaning remarks from an unlikely corner of the European Central Bank (ECB), a softening American payrolls proxy, and a Federal Reserve (Fed) regional president content to say nothing new. The market read the file, shrugged, and sold the single currency anyway, fading it from an early peak just shy of 1.1450 to a 1.1406 close, its weakest finish since last Wednesday. The Strait of Hormuz then finished the job, with late-session headlines confirming fresh Iranian strikes on commercial shipping and an American military and sanctions response that handed the Dollar a haven bid into the close. What began as quiet positioning ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes ended with the pair pinned near its low and Brent Crude Oil sharply higher. A hawkish dove, a soft payroll

The post New Zealand Dollar slips ahead of RBNZ rate decision appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. NZD/USD loses ground near the 0.5680 level as investors look ahead to Wednesday’s Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision, while the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by cautious remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest US labor data showed the ADP Employment Change 4-week average eased to 21K from 24.25K, pointing to softer private hiring. However, the Greenback held firm after New York Fed President John Williams said the US economy is growing at a steady pace, the labor market remains stable, and inflation is still elevated. In New Zealand, the RBNZ is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points, from 2.25% to 2.50%, ending a three-meeting pause. The decision could bring volatility, as economists remain divided after May’s close 3-3 split, when Governor Breman cast the deciding vote to hold rates steady. Short-term technical analysis: O

The post Forex Today: US Dollar steadies as Williams keeps inflation caution alive appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 8: The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near the 101.00 area, recovering modestly after two days of running in place as investors digest softer US labor data and cautious comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. The latest ADP Employment Change 4-week average eased to 21K from 24.25K, pointing to slower private hiring momentum. However, the Greenback maintained its ground as New York Fed President John Williams said that inflation remains too high, but added that monetary policy is well-positioned and future decisions will depend on incoming data. US Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 0.23% 0.24% 0.00% -0.04% 0.34% 0.34% 0.38% EUR -0.23% -0.01% -

The post Rick Rule Warns the Fed May Have to Print Again to Bail out Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Rick Rule warns junk bond ETFs holding trillions in assets face a liquidity mismatch risk. Rule says U.S. federal debt near 120% of GDP limits the Fed’s 2026 bailout options. Rule turned away 135 exhibitors from his Boca Raton symposium after a 40% sector selloff. The veteran resource investor made the comment during a July 7, 2026, interview with David Lin of The David Lin Report, recorded from the floor of the Rule Symposium in Boca Raton, Florida. Rule is the co-founder of Battle Bank, the proprietor of Rule Investment Media, and the former CEO of Sprott US. “If I had to think about one thing that really scares me, that’s it,” Rule told Lin. A Liquidity Mismatch Inside Junk Bond ETFs Rule explained that high-yield and subprime credit ETFs hold trillions of dollars in combined assets, much of it owned by retail investors who do not understand the underlying

Rick Rule says the biggest threat to markets right now sits inside high-yield bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that investors mistake for cash. The veteran resource investor made the comment during a July 7, 2026, interview with David Lin of The David Lin Report, recorded from the floor of the Rule Symposium in Boca Raton, Florida. […]

The post Bitcoin rally now depends on one Fed document coming Wednesday appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Federal Reserve publishes the minutes of its June 16–17 meeting on Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET, and the release will either validate Bitcoin’s week-long recovery or pull out its foundation. Traders bought the rebound on a single macro assumption: a weakening US labor market limits how long the central bank can stay hawkish. The minutes, the first full account of internal deliberations under Chair Kevin Warsh, will show whether officials shared that concern in mid-June, weeks before the jobs data that set the rally in motion. The move riding on the answer is substantial. Bitcoin traded near $64,000 on Tuesday, up almost 11% from the 21-month low below $58,000 it set on July 1, and swung more than $3,400 between $61,250 and $64,659 on Monday. The recovery began with Thursday’s US jobs report, which showed employers added 57,000 positions in June, roughly half of what economists exp

The proposed AML amendments could significantly enhance banks' accountability, potentially leading to more effective financial crime prevention. The post Federal Reserve requests public comment on AML program amendments that could reshape bank compliance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Australian Dollar falls amid cautious Fedspeak appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AUD/USD declines toward 0.6940 as the Australian Dollar (AUD) loses momentum, while the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by cautious remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and lingering uncertainty over inflation. The latest United States (US) labor data showed that the ADP Employment Change 4-week average eased to 21K from 24.25K, pointing to a softer pace of private hiring. The figure suggests that labor market momentum is cooling, which could normally weigh on the Greenback. However, the USD held firm as investors remained cautious ahead of more important US data and continued to price in a data-dependent Fed stance. New York Fed President John Williams said the US economy is showing steady trend-like growth and that the job market remains stable. However, he warned that inflation is still quite high, keeping pressure on the Fed to maintain a restrictive policy stance. Williams added that m