Polymarket assigns 13% chance for US AI safety bill by 2027

Cryptoquant CEO Ki Young Ju believes bitcoin’s profit-taking cascade typically drags investor returns lower for about 18 months, a pattern that could keep the current bear market running into early 2027. Still Some Time To Go Till The Bears Retreat Bitcoin’s bear market may still have a year or more to run, according to Cryptoquant […]

Strategy has shifted 411 bitcoin to Coinbase Prime in its first direct exchange deposit in nearly two years, driving Polymarket’s odds of a 2026 bitcoin sale by the company to 84%. Strategy’s Move Raises Sell Fears Strategy (formerly Microstrategy), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, moved 411.48 BTC worth about $30.3 million into Coinbase Prime […]

Wintermute is providing liquidity on the two biggest prediction markets, linking flows for both firms, according to a source familiar with the matter.

Strategy moved 411.48 BTC worth $30.3M into Coinbase Prime. Selling odds surged to 84% on Polymarket after the transfer. The transfer increased caution and elevated short-term volatility. Strategy Bitcoin has sparked new debate after transferring 411.48 BTC to Coinbase Prime. The move is worth about $30.3 million.  Markets reacted rapidly to this massive Coinbase transfer, […] The post Strategy Sends 411 Bitcoin to Coinbase as Sell Odds Surge to 84% appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.

Congressional probe presses Polymarket and Kalshi on KYC and surveillance as event markets face insider-trading risks. Practical safeguards and trader tips.

AlphaRaccoon's username was removed from the Polymarket account after users on Discord and X speculated that the trader may have been a Google insider.

Josh Stevens, VP of Engineering at Polymarket, denied reports indicating that the prediction market platform would shift to a model requiring full customer ID for its operations. Kalshi’s Head of Enforcement, Robert J. DeNault, called Polymarket to enhance its compliance policies, as insiders were “using the platform left and right.” Kalshi Criticizes Polymarket’s Compliance Policies: […]

The case highlights vulnerabilities in prediction markets, prompting increased scrutiny and potential regulatory changes to prevent insider trading. The post Polymarket faces insider trading scrutiny as Google engineer charged with fraud appeared first on Crypto Briefing.