The post Polymarket sees 99%+ odds BTC stays above $60K by July 12 amid oil risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Polymarket’s BTC July 12 Strike Ladder Holds Firm After Oil-Spike Macro Shock Headlines On Polymarket’s “Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?” ladder, traders are pricing a high probability that BTC stays above lower strikes into expiry, with $340,873 matched and little change in the top lines. The latest trigger was a report describing Bitcoin holding above $62,000 even as oil rose on renewed US-Iran fighting—testing how macro shock headlines translate into per-strike odds. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading line implies BTC will be above $52,000 on July 12 (Yes 99.95% / No 0.05%). The catalyst was a report linking renewed US-Iran hostilities and higher oil to macro risk, but the ladder still clusters around “above $60k” as the baseline expectation. The market resolves on 2026-07-12 16:00:00 UTC; the 24h and 7d summary shows 0.0 pp change with stable, low-vol pricing. A July
The post Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 10, 2026 16:03
After a June 17 US-Iran shipping MoU, attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and escalatory strikes revived closure threats, while transits stayed about 28 a day versus 100 pre-war.
Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 Polymarket Slashes “Hormuz Traffic Back to Normal by July 31” Odds After Renewed Shipping Security Shock Polymarket traders are now pricing just a 4.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31, with “No” leading at 95.5% on $13.82M matched. The shift comes as a renewed security cloud over the waterway collides with a market that has swung sharply from earlier expectations of normalization. Key Takeaways Prediction: “No” leads at 95.5% (Yes 4.5%) on Polymarket for traffic returning to normal by July 31. Basis: The contract repriced toward disruption r
The post Standard Chartered Keeps $100K Bitcoin Target. appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Standard Chartered maintains its Bitcoin forecast despite recent market volatility and Strategy-related concerns. Strategy’s evolving Bitcoin treasury approach created uncertainty but does not weaken BTC’s outlook. The bank expects institutional demand and adoption to support Bitcoin’s long-term growth trajectory. Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its Bitcoin price target of $100,000 by the end of 2026, despite recent market volatility and concerns surrounding Strategy’s changing Bitcoin strategy. The global banking firm maintains that Bitcoin’s recent decline reflects temporary uncertainty rather than a shift in its long-term outlook. According to the bank, improved communication from Strategy could help restore investor confidence and reduce market pressure. Standard Chartered Maintains Bitcoin Bullish Outlook Standard Chartered continues to support its $100,000 Bitcoin forecast, describing t
Standard Chartered maintains its Bitcoin forecast despite recent market volatility and Strategy-related concerns. Strategy’s evolving Bitcoin treasury approach created uncertainty but does not weaken BTC’s outlook. The bank expects institutional demand and adoption to support Bitcoin’s long-term growth trajectory. Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its Bitcoin price target of $100,000 by the end of 2026, despite […]
The post Standard Chartered Doubles Down: Bitcoin Still Set to Hit $100K in 2026 appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.
The post Bitcoin’s ‘next major buying opportunity’ forms in Q4 – Former NASA researcher explains why! appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
After a 2.32% increase over the previous day, Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at $64,380.20 at press time. The leading cryptocurrency, however, failed to overcome the resistance level at $80k, which it last reached in mid-May, despite the increase. Even though the four-hour chart’s RSI and MACD indicators, as well as the narrowing Bollinger bands, further imply that the bullish narrative is here to stay. Source: Trading View On-chain metrics raise red flags Nonetheless, the data from CryptoQuant’s most recent analysis paints a bleak picture, indicating that Bitcoin is not in a bear market or a confirmed recovery, but rather is in a transitional phase. On the one hand, conventional U.S. investors are being cautious. This is because since October 2025, about $10 billion has been pulled out of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, the Coinbase Premium has been n
The post Empery Digital Sells 1,400 BTC for AI Expansion. appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Empery Digital sold 1,400 BTC at an average price of $62,200, raising $87.1M. The company will use proceeds for debt repayment, property deals, and legal expenses. Empery Digital is shifting focus toward AI data centers and energy infrastructure. Empery Digital has sold 1,400 Bitcoin for approximately $87.1 million as the Nasdaq-listed company redirects capital toward debt repayment, property acquisition, and artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion. Empery Digital Converts Bitcoin Holdings Into Growth Capital Empery Digital disclosed that it sold 1,400 BTC between May 7 and July 10 at an average price of $62,200 per Bitcoin. The transaction generated around $87.1 million in proceeds, according to a filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company said the funds will support several financial priorities, including repaying $10 million in outstanding debt.
The post Polymarket Applies for US License to Offer Margin Trading appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The filing would let Polymarket users open positions without posting full collateral, following Kalshi’s FCM-backed perpetuals launch. Polymarket has applied for a US futures commission merchant license to offer margin trading on its prediction markets, Bloomberg reported Thursday. The move would let traders open positions without posting full collateral upfront. The application, filed July 3 with the National Futures Association through Polymarket affiliate Coming Home GBA LLC, seeks FCM registration, according to documents cited by Bloomberg. Polymarket must also win approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to amend its rulebook to permit non-fully collateralized trades, the filing shows. A Polymarket representative confirmed to Bloomberg that the application had been submitted, with the goal of attracting more institutional investors to the platform. Under the propos
