Prediction Markets Go Institutional: Why Hedge Funds Are Watching Kalshi and Polymarket

The ceasefire extension could stabilize oil markets and ease geopolitical tensions, but uncertainty remains until formal approval is secured. The post Markets rally on Axios report of US-Iran ceasefire extension appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The Google employee case is the second federal prosecution tied to alleged prediction market insider trading on Polymarket.

UBS's forecast suggests prolonged high rates could pressure rate-sensitive sectors and speculative markets, impacting economic dynamics. The post UBS warns markets overprice Fed hawkishness, forecasts rate cuts ahead appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The upcoming IPOs of AI giants amid economic uncertainty could reshape investor expectations, emphasizing profitability over mere market potential. The post OpenAI and Anthropic eye summer IPOs as stagflation clouds loom over markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

This case underscores the legal risks of exploiting corporate data in prediction markets, potentially tightening regulatory scrutiny on such platforms. The post Google engineer charged with insider trading on Polymarket after $1.2M in alleged profits appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post States have lost $1 billion due to prediction markets: Gaming association appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The American Gaming Association now estimates that states have missed out on more than $1 billion in tax revenue due to the rise of prediction markets.  In an appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” detailing the estimate, association president and CEO Bill Miller said that the lost money has consequences for communities due to the taxes states collect on regulated gambling.   “It’s about states and tribes that are losing literally a billion dollars today in state and tribal revenue that would otherwise go to fund important community projects,” he said, referencing the consequences it has on Native American casinos’ revenues too.  Miller — whose organization is an advocate for casino operators, manufacturers and employees — said prediction markets amount to “backdoor sports betting.” The only difference, in his view, is that they aren’t regulated in the same way as sportsbo

Gemini's partnership with SpaceXAI could reshape prediction markets by enhancing user engagement and fostering competitive innovation in the sector. The post Gemini taps SpaceXAI to develop personalized prediction markets feed appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Polymarket Tightens ID Checks Amid Sanctions Pressure Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket tightens ID checks as regulators target sanctions gaps and offshore trading access risks. VPN use and routing tricks keep exposing gaps in Polymarket’s geo-blocking enforcement system. Rising prediction market volumes trigger U.S. probes into trading, identity checks, and compliance. Polymarket is tightening identity checks as regulators step up pressure on prediction markets over sanctions risks and offshore access concerns. The platform has come under closer scrutiny after reports showed users in restricted countries still managed to access markets using VPNs, bots, and other workarounds. According to The Information report, company documents show that Polymarket blocks users from countries including the United States, Russia, Iran, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands.  However, enforcement concerns continue growing as some users reportedly bypass