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The post RBNZ: Preemptive hikes and neutral ceiling – TD Securities appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha shifts the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) call to start 25 bps hikes in July rather than September, keeping a total of four moves in the profile. Newnaha highlights RBNZ guidance that the OCR is likely to rise at coming meetings, while stressing a weak growth outlook and a more deeply negative output gap. He prefers receiving New Zealand rates on yield sell-offs, viewing the neutral rate near 3.50% as a ceiling. RBNZ path pulled forward to July “We retain 4 x 25bps RBNZ hikes in our cash rate profile, but forecast the hike cycle to commence from July and not September as per our prior forecast.” “None of these conditions were broken supporting a hike ahead of the May meeting and the RBNZ would not have had data to categorically show a breach of these conditions by the July meeting to hike then either.” “Nonetheless, the RBNZ yesterday declared act
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The post New Zealand Dollar loses traction as US–Iran tensions overshadow hawkish RBNZ policy outlook appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers to around 0.5885 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) softens against the US Dollar (USD) as a fresh exchange of airstrikes between the United States (US) and Iran dented hopes for a peace deal. The US military launched new strikes overnight in Iran targeting a military site and shooting down four Iranian one-way attack drones that posed a threat around the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported on Wednesday. Deputy Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, Ali Bagheri Kani, said that Iran is seeking the release of all of the country’s funds by the US and this is the legal right of Iran, adding that the assets belong to Iranians and must be returned “fully and unconditionally.” The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (
The post RBNZ Governor Orr Signals Potential Hike As Committee Votes To Hold appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. RBNZ Governor Orr Signals Potential Hike As Committee Votes To Hold Skip to content Home Forex News RBNZ Governor Orr Signals Potential Hike as Committee Votes to Hold Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/rbnz-governor-orr-signals-potential-hike/
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The post New Zealand Dollar: Seen above 0.60 against US Dollar in 2H26 – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to deliver a hawkish hold at the 27 May meeting, while warning markets underprice the risk of a surprise hike. He sees new projections signalling tightening from 3Q and looks for two 25bp hikes starting in July. NZD performance is still seen as largely driven by global factors. Kiwi outlook tied to RBNZ path “In our view, there are enough arguments to hike at this 27 May meeting (an underpriced risk), but the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has erred on the dovish side and looks more likely to opt for a hawkish hold. New projections may show tightening already in 3Q, and we expect the first of two hikes in July. NZD moves should stay mostly externally driven though.” “In any case, a hike in July is looking increasingly likely in our view, and should not be a one-and-done. Our current forecast is for 50
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