Swedish Krona: Growth strong, currency soft – Societe Generale

The post Japanese Yen: Oil shock weighs JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight renewed weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY), which is underperforming G10 peers and threatening fresh multi-decade lows as USD/JPY trades at levels last seen in 1986. They stress that surging Oil prices are a clear downside risk via Japan’s terms of trade, while the chart offers little guidance on resistance after the recent powerful rally. Multi-decade highs and downside risks “The yen is soft, down 0.2% vs. the USD and underperforming most of the G10 currencies into Wednesday’s NA session.” “The renewed weakness is worrisome following last week’s failed recovery and the yen looks to be threatening a break to fresh multi-decade lows.” “The latest resurgence in geopolitical tensions presents a clear downside risk for the yen, as surging oil prices deliver a crushing blow to Japan’s terms of trade.” “The USD/JPY ch

The post India: Gradual firming CPI supports RBI patience – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale strategist Kunal Kundu expects India’s June 2026 headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to print around 4.1% year-on-year, slightly above May’s 3.9% but still within the RBI’s tolerance band. Kundu highlights food, fuel and services as key drivers, while noting partial and delayed pass-through from wholesale prices. It argues that competitive conditions, policy buffers and moderate demand should prevent a sustained inflation acceleration. Food, fuel and core inflation dynamics “India’s June 2026 headline CPI inflation is likely to print at around 4.1% yoy, marking a modest acceleration from 3.9% in May while remaining comfortably within the RBI’s inflation tolerance band. The expected increase is less a reflection of broad-based inflationary pressures and more a consequence of a gradual firming in food, fuel and select services categories over recent

The post Euro: Geopolitics and ECB repricing supports EUR – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Euro (EUR) is consolidating around the low 1.14s, with mixed G10 performance as markets reassess Oil’s impact on Euro area terms of trade and the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rate path. They highlight a notable repricing of ECB tightening to about 35 bps by December, supporting EUR via yield spreads, while near-term EUR/USD is seen confined between 1.1380 and 1.1480. Oil risk and ECB repricing “The EUR is quietly consolidating in the low-1.14s and entering Wednesday’s NA session unchanged vs. the USD. The EUR is also a mid-performer among the G10, in mixed overall trade with dispersion offering a break from the broad USD-driven movement that has characterized overall performance through much of this year.” “The latest resurgence in geopolitical risk presents a clear potential headwind for the EUR as we assess the ren

The post British Pound: Pound resilience faces political risks – Rabobank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that the British Pound (GBP) has been a strong G10 performer this year, supported by sticky United Kingdom (UK) inflation, Bank of England (BoE) rate expectations and inbound M&A flows. However, Foley warns that excess economic capacity, high government debt and political uncertainty around Burnham’s incoming Labour government and fiscal stance could weigh on GBP, with EUR/GBP seen higher by year-end. Feel good for now “The pound is the second best performing G10 currency in the month to date after the NOK. In the year to date the pound is fourth place in the G10 performance table. The UK’s recent history of sticky inflation and the swing in short-term interest rates at the start of the Iran war to pricing in BoE rate hikes can partly explain GBP’s resilience.” “Despite this month’s better tone, we don’t see GBP as being fr

The post Swedish Krona: Weakens against Euro – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights EUR/SEK reclaiming its 200-day moving average and breaking above a base, signalling a short-term uptrend towards 11.11. The analysis points to first support at 11.00 and suggests that defending this level could extend gains, with next objectives at the upper boundary of a longer-term descending channel around 11.30/11.33. EUR/SEK uptrend with channel objectives “EUR/SEK reclaimed the 200-DMA last month; this MA had acted as a crucial hurdle in previous rebound attempts.” “The pair recently broke out above the upper limit of a base denoting onset of a short-term uptrend and marched towards 11.11.” “The upper part of the base at 11.00 could be the first support. Defence of this may lead to a continuation of the up move. “ “Beyond 11.11, the next objectives could be located at the upper boundary of the descending channel drawn since 2023 at 11.30

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