Trump declares Iran ceasefire over, warns of retaliation as Bitcoin slides more than 3%

The post ‘The Clearest Macro Risk to Bitcoin’: Why Bitfinex Is Warning Investors About the Yen Carry Trade appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways The yen dropped to historic lows, raising policy tightening fears that threaten global crypto liquidity. Bitfinex flagged the yen carry trade as a macro risk, warning a sharp reversal will hit BTC and ETH. Japan spent $73B on FX interventions, showing limited impact against massive global trading volumes. Yen Carry Trade Reversal Awakens Fears in Bitcoin Analysts One of the most relevant global liquidity drivers, the Japanese carry trade, is under analyst scrutiny again due to the recent devaluation of the yen, which might prompt a reversal of the conditions that gave it its origin. As explained in Bitcoin News before, the yen carry trade has its origin in the historically low cost of borrowing money in Japan. Investors leverage this liquidity, extracting it from the country and funneling it into more lucrative markets, investing

Analysts warn that a reversal in the current conditions of the Japanese yen, as the Bank of Japan moves to protect its fiat currency, would lead investors to unwind risk positions globally, impacting tech stocks and bitcoin markets primarily. Yen Carry Trade Reversal Awakens Fears in Bitcoin Analysts One of the most relevant global liquidity […]

The post Polymarket odds hit 8.5% for Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 22:04 Explosions were reported across parts of Iran as U.S. Polymarket odds hit 8.5% for Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31 Polymarket Slams “Yes” After Iran Explosion Reports Reprice Strait of Hormuz Normalization Risk On Polymarket, traders have pushed the “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” contract sharply toward No, with Yes down to 8.5% on $14.23M matched. The repricing follows fresh reports of explosions in Iran and escalating regional strikes, and the market’s move is visible in both the large swing from 42% and the recent high-volatility tape. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies a 91.5% chance of “No” (only 8.5% Yes) that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31. The contract repriced lower after reports of explosions in Iran and continued tit-for-tat strikes, aligning traders toward prolo

The post Global Market Shifts Triggered by Geopolitical Tensions and Regulatory Shifts appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Financial markets witnessed significant volatility following former US President Donald Trump’s announcement of the ceasefire’s termination between the US and Iran at a NATO summit. The geopolitical development caused a spike in oil prices and a simultaneous decline in riskier assets, including a 2% dip in Bitcoin’s value, further illustrating the close ties between digital […] Continue Reading:Global Market Shifts Triggered by Geopolitical Tensions and Regulatory Shifts Source: https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/global-market-shifts-triggered-by-geopolitical-tensions-and-regulatory-shifts

The post Trump Ends Iran Ceasefire as Oil Surges and Bitcoin Rises appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Trump’s decision to continue diplomacy with Iran despite ending the U.S. ceasefire sparked fresh uncertainty across global financial markets. Investors quickly reacted as geopolitical tensions intensified around the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global energy supplies.  Oil prices climbed sharply following the announcement, while Bitcoin extended its recent gains. Although Washington left the door open for negotiations through regional mediators, traders shifted their focus toward the growing risks surrounding energy markets and broader economic stability. Trump Ends Ceasefire While Keeping Talks Alive President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that the U.S. ceasefire with Iran had officially ended. However, his administration agreed to continue diplomatic discussions through Qatari mediators in Tehran. The ceasefire had remained in effect since June 17, but recent milita

The post Polymarket: Switzerland lead dips to 27.5% for next US-Iran talks venue appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 20:03 On July 9, 2026, a report said the US expanded strikes in Iran, while Iranian officials reported civilian damage across Bushehr province near key infrastructure. Polymarket: Switzerland lead dips to 27.5% for next US-Iran talks venue Polymarket Softens Switzerland Lead After Strike-Expansion Headlines Reprice US–Iran Talks Venue Risk Polymarket traders are leaning toward Switzerland as the most likely venue for the next round of US-Iran peace talks, but the lead has softened to 27.5% on $2.60M matched. The move follows fresh headlines about expanded US strikes in Iran, and the market’s own 24h swing shows how quickly venue expectations can decay under escalation risk. Key Takeaways Top outcome is Switzerland at 27.5% implied odds (Yes 27.5% / No 72.5%), ahead of Pakistan at 23.3% (Yes 23.3% / No 76.7%). After the strike-

Trump's directive risks escalating US-Iran tensions, potentially destabilizing global markets and inviting regulatory scrutiny on prediction platforms. The post Trump orders massive military response against Iran if assassinated appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Bitcoin’s short-term holders remain 15% underwater—but selling pressure is easing appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin [BTC] was showing a divergence between spot and derivatives markets. AMBCrypto reported that the apparent demand metric has been negative throughout 2026. The Coinbase Premium Index was also in the red in recent weeks, showing a lack of demand from institutional players. Meanwhile, rising leverage trends were spotted, leaving the market vulnerable to a liquidation cascade. The current bear cycle has yet to reach the lows of the previous ones. Stablecoin outflow from exchanges was another hint of defensive positioning from crypto market participants. This lack of sustained demand was a warning, but also left a potential route higher in the short-term. Here’s what the price action and short-term holder dynamics have to say about a potential Bitcoin price bounce. Short-term holder buying pressure is dominating BTC, just like in February Source: BTC/USDT o