Barclays Says Prediction Markets are Retail’s New Trading Toy
The post Barclays Says Prediction Markets are Retail’s New Trading Toy appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets have surged since the 2024 election, becoming retail’s latest high-risk trade. Kalshi and Polymarket topped $24 billion in notional volume by April, up from under $5 billion. Barclays says prediction markets are rising fast but remain far below the $57 trillion 0DTE market. Prediction markets are moving from niche internet corners into retail trading’s main arena, with Barclays calling them “retail’s shiny new toy.” The phrase reflects a rapid volume surge since the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The appeal is simple. Traders buy contracts linked to real-world outcomes, from elections and sports to economic data and climate events. Instead of tracking a company’s earnings, they trade a yes-or-no result. Retail Traders Move Beyond Stocks and Crypto Barclays analysts said monthly notional volume on prediction platforms has climbed sharply since last fall. The r