Bitcoin Could Fall To $40,000 If Saylor’s Bid Stalls, Ran Neuner Warns
Ran Neuner says Bitcoin’s chart structure is starting to resemble the breakdown pattern that preceded the 2022 capitulation, with one key difference: this time, he argues, Michael Saylor’s Strategy may be the market’s most important marginal buyer. Speaking with Scott Melker in a May 24 interview, Neuner said Bitcoin is sitting inside a “very scary structure,” pointing to what he described as a bear flag that has failed to resolve higher. His concern is not only technical. It is also tied to whether Strategy can keep raising capital through STRC, a preferred-stock instrument that Neuner believes has become central to Saylor’s ability to buy more Bitcoin. “If history repeats, right, then we should break down or could break down below this,” Neuner said, referring to Bitcoin’s current chart pattern. “I hate saying it because look, I don’t even want to admit it to myself, but I mean definitely it’s going down to the $40ks or $50ks if it happens.” The argument rests on a comparison with 20