BloFin Research: Bitcoin, One More Flush Before The Bottom
The post BloFin Research: Bitcoin, One More Flush Before The Bottom appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin’s June 2026 low near $58,000 does not meet the on-chain conditions that marked prior cycle bottoms. The floor sits below realized price, near $54,000, over a horizon that extends into Q4 2026. Sentiment has reached extreme fear, while valuation and on-chain metrics sit above the levels recorded at the 2015, 2018, and 2022 lows. Every prior cycle bottomed below realized price. A move under roughly $54,000 is the minimum condition. The cycle bottom requires financial conditions to stop tightening: falling real yields, a weaker dollar, and receding Fed hike expectations. Bitcoin fell to roughly $57,950 on July 1, 2026, its lowest level in about 21 months, and closed June down near 20%. The decline places price roughly 50% below the October 2025 peak. Late June also produced the first weekly close below the 200-week moving average. the average of the last 200 weekly closes, sinc