Bitcoin vs. gold: Why the BTC/XAU ratio could be key in July
The post Bitcoin vs. gold: Why the BTC/XAU ratio could be key in July appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. July has officially kicked off, bringing the hedge narrative back into focus. At the macro level, volatility is picking up again. On the 8th of July, the U.S.-Iran ceasefire collapsed, sending Bitcoin back toward $62k and wiping out $300 million in long positions shortly after the news broke. At the same time, oil jumped over 4%, reclaiming the $75/barrel level for the first time since losing it in mid-June. While U.S. President Donald Trump later said Iran is open to another round of negotiations, the damage to risk sentiment has already been done. On Polymarket, the odds of oil trading above $80/barrel this month have surged from just 13% to 65%, reflecting growing expectations of further geopolitical escalation and tighter energy markets. Source: Polymarket Notably, the shift is already showing up across macro data. According to FedWatch, the probability of a rate hike at the