Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal-by-July odds plunge to 4.5% on strikes
The post Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal-by-July odds plunge to 4.5% on strikes appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 10, 2026 00:03 US strikes were reported on Bushehr, Chabahar, Bandar Abbas, and Jask, with at least one death in Iranshahr and widespread power outages in Chabahar. Polymarket: Hormuz traffic normal-by-July odds plunge to 4.5% on strikes Polymarket Reprices “Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normal by July 31?” After New Strike Headlines On Polymarket, traders are now pricing “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” at 4.5% Yes (95.5% No) after a steep drop from 42.0% Yes. The move follows fresh conflict headlines and highlights how quickly the contract’s implied probability and liquidity ($13.7M volume) have repriced. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading view is No at 95.5% (Yes 4.5%) on traffic returning to normal by July 31. After the latest catalyst, the market’s Yes price collapsed from 42.0% to 4.5%, signaling a sharp downg