Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization drop to 65.5% on disruption
The post Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization drop to 65.5% on disruption appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 11, 2026 04:03 Maritime tracking cited in a new report shows large-vessel crossings on a US-coordinated Strait of Hormuz route effectively halted amid renewed US-Iran fighting. Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization drop to 65.5% on disruption Polymarket “Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalizes by Dec 31” Reprices After US–Iran Shipping Disruption Headlines On Polymarket, the contract “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” now prices a 65.5% chance of “Yes” after a sharp drop from 85.5%, with $4,804,852 matched. The repricing follows reports of shipping disruption tied to renewed US-Iran fighting, and the move is visible in both the headline odds and recent trend signals. Key Takeaways Polymarket currently implies a 65.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31 (Yes 65.5%, No 3