Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31
The post Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jessie A Ellis Jul 10, 2026 16:03 After a June 17 US-Iran shipping MoU, attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and escalatory strikes revived closure threats, while transits stayed about 28 a day versus 100 pre-war. Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 Polymarket Slashes “Hormuz Traffic Back to Normal by July 31” Odds After Renewed Shipping Security Shock Polymarket traders are now pricing just a 4.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31, with “No” leading at 95.5% on $13.82M matched. The shift comes as a renewed security cloud over the waterway collides with a market that has swung sharply from earlier expectations of normalization. Key Takeaways Prediction: “No” leads at 95.5% (Yes 4.5%) on Polymarket for traffic returning to normal by July 31. Basis: The contract repriced toward disruption r