Chinese Yuan: Downside bias as momentum improves against US Dollar – UOB

The post Chinese Yuan: Fixing guidance fades, path less anchored – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC’s Christopher Wong observes that Renminbi (RMB) appreciation guidance is waning, with CNH-CNY fixing gaps narrowing and daily adjustments moderating. Policymakers appear to be shifting toward RMB stability rather than further appreciation. As a result, USD/CNH may become more driven by the broader Dollar, yield differentials and China growth sentiment, leaving downside less anchored. Stability focus shifts USD/CNH drivers “The RMB appreciation impulse appears to show tentative signs of losing some official reinforcement. The CNH-CNY fixing gap has narrowed, while the pace of daily fixing adjustment has moderated.” “Recent fixes have also been less RMB-supportive versus market expectations (Bloomberg proxy), suggesting that the policymakers may be shifting back toward RMB stability management rather than guiding for further appreciation.” “If fixing guidance continues to fad

The post Singapore Dollar: Range bias holds above 1.2890 against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD’s mild downward pressure has eased, with the pair expected to stay range-bound. Intraday, the Dollar is seen trading between 1.2920 and 1.2960, while over the next 1–3 weeks UOB projects a broader 1.2890–1.2990 band. On a 1–3 month horizon, a break above 1.3000 could open a move toward 1.3095. Dollar-Singapore Dollar seen range-bound “24-HOUR VIEW: When USD was at 1.2930 in the early Asian session yesterday, we were of the view that it “is likely to edge higher.” However, we pointed out that “it is unlikely to break above 1.2955.” Our view of a higher USD was not wrong, even though USD rose to a high of 1.2956 before easing to close at 1.2938 (+0.07%). The slight increase in upward momentum is insufficient to indicate a continued rise in USD. Today, USD is more likely to trade in a higher range of 1.2920/1.2

The post Chinese Yuan: Forecast band tightened as stability holds against US Dollar – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING’s Chief Economist Lynn Song notes that the CNY has been one of the strongest performers in 2026, even against a firm Dollar backdrop. Song tightens its USD/CNY forecast band to 6.67–6.92 for the rest of the year, citing PBoC-driven currency stability, strong Chinese exports, a robust current account surplus and expectations of a narrowing US-China yield spread. CNY resilience and revised band “The CNY has been one of the top performers so far in 2026. With upside risks increasingly reflected in current valuations, we are narrowing and modestly lowering our forecast range to 6.67–6.92 for the remainder of the year.” “Will the CNY outperformance repeat in the second half? This is probably a more dollar-centric rather than CNY-centric question. The dollar-weakening trend would likely result in the CNY underperforming other currencies.” “With the PBOC holding f

The post Chinese Yuan: Range consolidation after recent retreat against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term. The analyst reiterates that a close above 6.8080 would open the way toward 6.8195, while maintaining that upside risk persists as long as USD/CNH holds above 6.7830. Upside risk while support holds “24-HOUR VIEW: After USD rose as we expected on Tuesday, we highlighted the following yesterday: “The advance has gathered momentum, and today, USD could break above the 6.8080 resistance. However, any further advance is unlikely to reach last month’s high of 6.8195. To sustain the momentum, USD must hold above 6.7960 (minor support is at 6.8000).” We were not wrong, as USD subsequently dipped to 6.7984, rose to 6.8101 before easing to close largely unchanged at 6.8061 (+0.03%). Upward momentum has fad

The post Australian Dollar: Tentative upside risk above 0.6980 against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang sees AUD/USD confined to a 0.6915–0.6950 intraday range as momentum remains lacklustre. For 1–3 weeks, upward momentum is tentatively building, with rising risk of a break above 0.6980 while 0.6900 acts as strong support. Over 1–3 months, however, the broader trend remains negative, with focus on 0.6707 below 0.6835. Australian Dollar holds in tight band “24-HOUR VIEW: AUD fell to a low of 0.6921 two days ago. When it was at 0.6925 yesterday, we stated that “while AUD could retreat further, given the lacklustre downward momentum, any decline is likely to be contained within a 0.6900/0.6950 range.” AUD subsequently rose to 0.6946, dipped to 0.6907 before recovering to close marginally higher by 0.01% at 0.6929. There has been no clear shift in either downward or upward momentum, and AUD is likely to range-trade today, pro

The post Japanese Yen: Downside bias but mixed outlook – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/JPY retains an upside bias, with scope for a test of 162.80 intraday while major resistance at 163.00 is unlikely to be reached. Over 1–3 weeks, the outlook is mixed, with trading expected between 160.60 and 163.00. On a 1–3 month view, the advance can extend as long as the pair holds above the 21-day EMA at 161.00. Advance intact while above 161.00 “24-HOUR VIEW: While we indicated yesterday that “the bias for USD is tilted to the upside,” we pointed out that “any advance is likely to be limited to a test of 162.70.” We pointed out that “support is at 162.00, followed by 161.80.” We were not wrong, as after dipping briefly to 162.05, USD rose and printed a high of 162.70. USD then eased from the high to close at 162.58 (+0.30%). Although there has been no clear increase in upward momentum, there is scope for USD to test 162.80 before a

The post Euro: Support zone key for next leg against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that EUR/USD momentum has flattened, with the Euro expected to trade between 1.1395 and 1.1440 intraday. Over 1–3 weeks, the pair is seen in a broader 1.1360–1.1450 range-trading phase. On a 1–3 month view, a break of the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone would target 1.1210. Euro-Dollar locked in range phase “24-HOUR VIEW: EUR fell to a low of 1.1407 on Tuesday. Yesterday, we highlighted the following: “Despite the relatively sharp decline, downward momentum has not increased much. However, there is scope for EUR to dip below 1.1390. The major support at 1.1360 is unlikely to come into view. Resistance is at 1.1420; a breach of 1.1430 would indicate that the immediate downward pressure has eased.” EUR subsequently declined and printed a low of 1.1390 before recovering to close largely unchanged at 1.1414 (+0.03%). Momentum indicators

The post Singapore Dollar: Short-term losses versus upside risks against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD is edging higher after a period of tight consolidation, with intraday upside seen as limited below nearby resistance. While short-term momentum has turned up, the bank still flags increased risk of a break under 1.2890 on a 1–3 week horizon, even as longer-term weekly signals point to potential strength toward 1.3095. Upward bias capped below resistance “24-HOUR VIEW: While we noted yesterday that “there has been a slight increase in downward momentum,” we pointed out that “this is likely to lead to USD trading in a lower range of 1.2900/1.2935 rather than a sustained decline.” USD then traded between 1.2906 and 1.2934, closing largely unchanged at 1.2929 (+0.04%). This time around, there has been a slight increase in upward momentum. Today, USD could edge higher, but it is unlikely to break above 1.2955.