The post Euro: Technical break points to 1.160 test versus US Dollar – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights a significant technical break in EUR/USD below 1.170, opening scope for a test of 1.160 in coming days. Pesole stresses that widening EUR:USD two-year swap differentials back towards pre-war levels have removed a key source of Euro (EUR) resilience versus the US Dollar (USD), while political risk is adding a premium to EUR/GBP with upside risks for the cross. Rate gap widens as support fades “We saw a pretty significant technical break in EUR/USD at 1.170, which seemed to rapidly pave the way for a test of 1.160 in the coming days.” “While equities are the main driver of the pair, the moves in short-term rate differentials have been big of late. The EUR:USD two-year swap rate gap has widened 20bp from -80bp to -100bp since the start of this week. That is now close to pre-war levels, essentially removing a key driver (hawkish ECB repricing vs
The post Gold slips as Trump’s Iran warning lifts US Dollar appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Gold (XAU/USD) price dives over 1.30% on Wednesday as tensions in the Middle East bolstered the Greenback after US President Donald Trump said that the agreement to end the war with Iran was “over.” At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,059 after hitting a four-day low of $4,021. XAU/USD falls as Oil spike revives Fed tightening risks The yellow metal is feeling the strength of the US Dollar (USD) and also of rising US Treasury yields. US President Trump’s doubts about making a deal with Iran increased the chances of a resumption of attacks, exerting pressure on Oil prices. Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude Oil benchmark, gains over 3%, with the barrel quoting at $74.50 at the time of writing. This boosted the Greenback as high energy prices pose the risk of high inflation, fueling bets for higher interest rates. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s perform
This decision may strain U.S.-Iran relations, complicating future negotiations and peace talks, while impacting regional stability and diplomacy.
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The post Silver Price Forecast: XAG extends lower low sequence, eyes on $55 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Silver prices collapse nearly 2.50% on Wednesday as risk aversion drives traders towards buying the US Dollar, to the detriment of precious metals. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $58.41 after waking at around $61.03. XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook Silver is still downward biased, extending the series of successive lower highs and lower lows, besides its trading below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $70.19. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearishly biased as the index approaches oversold territory. For a bearish continuation, if XAG/USD dives below the June 30 daily low of $56.61, this clears the path towards $55.79, the June 26 swing low. Below this level, the next area of interest is the November 13, 2025, daily low-turned-support at $54.39, ahead of the $50.00 figure. On the upside, buyers must clear the latest cycle high of $63.28
The post British Pound feeds on bad news as the Euro slides to a one-year low appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The Euro’s slide against the Pound has now consumed seven of the last eight trading sessions, and the reflex explanation of a soft single currency gets the attribution backwards. Sterling has done most of the work here: the Pound just closed out its best week in three months, printed a one-year high against the Euro, and managed both midway through a leadership transition with no confirmed Prime Minister and no named finance minister. The cross is falling because the Pound is being repriced upward, not because the Euro is falling apart. A Bank of England hike went from coin flip to certainty in three sessions Interest rate expectations moved decisively in the Pound’s favour inside a single week. Markets priced roughly a 70% chance of a Bank of England (BoE) hike by year-end on Monday, nudged that to 76% on Tuesday, then moved to full pricing after the White House declared
The post Japanese Yen falls near multi-decade lows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
USD/JPY trades higher near 162.50 on Wednesday, after nearing a four-decade high earlier in the day, as the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by geopolitical risk and caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes. The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure near multi-decade lows, keeping traders alert to possible intervention from Japanese authorities. Support for the Greenback increased after United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the interim memorandum of understanding with Iran was “over,” indicating his unwillingness to engage with Tehran. This statement boosted safe-haven demand for the USD and caused a rise in oil prices, which heightens concerns over inflation and global risk sentiment. The focus now shifts to the FOMC Minutes from the meeting held on June 16-17, which was the first under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. If the tone is hawkish, it could reinforc
The post US Dollar: Fed repricing after hawkish pivot – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the US Dollar (USD) is trading mixed as renewed Iran tensions hit risk appetite, with stocks falling and Oil (Brent) jumping 6%. They argue markets are overreacting to June’s hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pivot, noting Chair Warsh’s criticism of the dots and his reluctance to front-run Federal Reserve (Fed) reform task forces, while 37 bps of tightening priced by December still looks excessive. Iran tensions and FOMC expectations “Risk appetite has slumped, with global stocks down sharply.” “The dollar picked up some support earlier in London trade following the president’s ceasefire comments, but gains are limited and the DXY is still trading at a small net loss on the day.” “Developments leave markets pondering whether this is a brief and temporary rupture in the peace process or a prelude to another s
The post Asia FX: Diverging paths under Dollar strength – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that external pressures on Asia FX persist as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields stay firm, with markets fully pricing another Fed hike by October. He notes that most Asian currencies have weakened against the Dollar since the June FOMC, but domestic fundamentals and central bank actions are set to drive divergent performances across the region. Regional currencies under external pressure “Most Asian currencies have weakened against the US dollar since the 18 June FOMC meeting.” “In Indonesia, rupiah volatility has eased considerably following Bank Indonesia’s intensified support measures, including policy rate hikes and higher SRBI yields. Nonetheless, the rupiah remains sensitive to higher US yields.” “Meanwhile, the domestic macro backdrop has become somewhat less supportive. Manufacturing activity contracted in June, exports fell 5.8%yoy, the trade bala
The post Euro: Energy repricing shapes outlook against US Dollar – ABN AMRO appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele notes that the Euro’s relationship with energy prices has evolved, with recent Oil and Gas gains again weighing on EUR/USD. Earlier in the US-Iran conflict, higher energy prices hurt the Euro (EUR), but later the pair became more driven by Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) expectations. She now sees EUR/USD guided by central bank expectations, yield spreads and Eurozone energy risks. Euro sensitivity returns to energy moves “At the start of the US-Iran conflict, higher energy prices weighed on the euro against the US dollar. During the conflict, however, EUR/USD became less sensitive to energy prices and more sensitive to expectations for the Fed and the ECB.” “When a Memorandum of Understanding was announced, energy prices fell sharply, but the euro gained little against the US dollar because markets were focused on expectation