The post Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 2.45% as ceasefire rift flares appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 09, 2026 10:03
At a NATO summit in Turkiye, a report says President Trump called the US–Iran ceasefire MOU “over,” after US strikes followed a promised pause tied to Ali Khamenei’s funeral.
Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 2.45% as ceasefire rift flares Polymarket Holds “No” Near 98% After US–Iran Ceasefire MoU Headlines Polymarket traders are pricing a very low chance that Iran’s regime falls by Sept. 30, with “No” leading at 97.55% on about $278,895 in volume. The latest catalyst in headlines is a new flare-up in US–Iran ceasefire messaging, and the market reaction is best read through the contract’s binary settlement and the still-flat short-term odds. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies “No” at 97.55% (Yes 2.45%) on whether the Iranian regime falls by Sept. 30. After the ceasefire MoU headline, pricing still reflects stron
The US strike on Iran's railway bridge highlights vulnerabilities in global trade routes, potentially impacting geopolitical stability and crypto markets.
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The post US official says it remains committed to resolution with Iran, technical discussions ongoing appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
A US official signaled that it is still committed to the memorandum of understanding with Iran, even though US President Donald Trump’s declared earlier this week that the framework deal to end the Iran war was “over” after Tehran carried out strikes against vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and against neighboring countries, the Times of Israel reported on Thursday. “The United States is still committed to finding a resolution, and technical talks continue,” said the White House. The statement acknowledges Trump’s comments against the MOU but signals that the US is still prepared to adhere to its terms so long as Iran does the same. Market reaction At the time of writing, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is down 3.78% on the day at $71.75. WTI Oil FAQs WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Interm
The post Gold recovers above $4,100 as traders assess US-Iran conflict appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds to around $4,120 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal edges higher as traders weigh a resumption of war in the Middle East. The White House signaled that it is still committed to the memorandum of understanding with Iran, even though US President Donald Trump’s declared earlier this week that the framework deal to end the Iran war was “over” after Tehran carried out strikes against vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and against neighboring countries. However, uncertainty remains high as Trump said that strikes would “get much worse” if Tehran again attacked ships in the strait. On Thursday, the Islamic Republic targeted US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar. Jordan intercepted eight Iran-launched missiles, according to Axios. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran could drive crude oil prices higher, stoking inflation fears
Rising US-Iran tensions could destabilize global markets, prompting shifts to safe assets and impacting energy prices and inflation expectations.
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The post GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bullish amid respected higher-high structure appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The British Pound advances some 0.50% against the Japanese Yen on Thursday, as risk appetite improves after US President Donald Trump said that Iran had reached out and that it wants to make a deal badly. At the time of writing, GBP/JPY trades at 217.76, near year-to-date (YTD) highs. GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook The GBP/JPY has reached 18-year highs, last seen in February 2008, opening the door to challenging the January 2008 monthly peak levels. Price action shows the market is respecting a series of higher highs and higher lows, an indication of further upside. Momentum favours buyers, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish and about to enter overbought territory, indicating further upside. The first resistance for GBP/JPY is 218.00. Once cleared, it opens the door to challenge key psychological levels like 219.00, 220.00 and the January 2008 high
The post NATO Invests $40 Billion in Counter-Drone Technology as Russia Gears Up for Confrontation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Key Takeaways NATO unveils “Drone Edge” program allocating more than $40B for counter-UAV technology across five years Four European nations—Norway, Finland, Germany, and Denmark—commit to purchasing up to five Northrop Grumman MQ-4C Triton reconnaissance drones Russia’s Dronnitsa conference openly focuses its agenda on preparing for “large-scale conflict with NATO” Russian drone manufacturers now produce millions of unmanned systems each year, maintaining production superiority NATO aims to increase drone operator training fivefold before 2027 ends Unmanned aerial vehicle technology is fundamentally transforming military readiness strategies for both NATO and Russia. From explosive-laden drones to artificially intelligent swarm systems, massive investments are flowing into UAV capabilities on both sides. NATO Unveils Massive $40 Billion Counter-Drone
SK Hynix's US listing highlights global demand for AI-critical memory, potentially reshaping semiconductor market dynamics and investment flows.
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The post British Pound Sterling stages a jailbreak while Westminster arranges a coronation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Cable adds roughly a tenth of a percent on Thursday, changing hands a whisker above 1.3400 and poking through the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the first time since mid-June. The setting makes the move notable: the United States traded overnight strikes with Iran for a second consecutive day, Crude Oil carries a war premium, and Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers spent the session sounding hawkish. None of it bought the Dollar anything against the Pound. Washington supplies hawks and airstrikes, and the Dollar shrugs Thursday’s American docket gave Dollar bulls usable material, starting with Initial Jobless Claims printing 215K at 12:30 GMT against a 218K consensus and a 217K prior. A voting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member delivered remarks rated firmly hawkish at 13:00 GMT, another policymaker speaks at 17:30 GMT, and Existing Home Sale