Polymarket Seeks to Offer Margin Trading to US Users

The IRGC's vow of retaliation heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially destabilizing global markets and impacting energy and crypto sectors. The post IRGC vows vengeance against US and Israel for Khamenei’s killing, escalating fears of wider Middle East conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 08:14 A New York Fed post warned U.S. firms plan more tariff-linked price hikes over the next six months, with increases arriving in a staggered “trickle up” pattern as tariffs shift. Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk Polymarket Jumps to 85.5% “No Change” After Tariff-Linked Inflation Signal Reframes July Fed Odds Polymarket traders are pricing an 85.5% chance that the Fed makes no change at its July 2026 meeting, a +14.0pp jump from 71.5% as the market digested a fresh inflation-through-tariffs narrative. The ladder contract’s per-outcome odds and $48.58M in volume show where disagreement concentrates: “no change” versus a 25 bps hike. Key Takeaways Prediction: Polymarket’s leading outcome is “No change” at 85.5% implied odds. Basis: After a tariff-linked pricing and inflation d

The post Why are Oil prices taking a breather after rallying earlier this week? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil futures on NYMEX trade slightly lower to near $71.50 during the European trading session on Friday. The Oil price extends its correction after posting a fresh over two-week high at $75.73 on Wednesday. The black gold has come under pressure amid signs of de-escalation in the restart of the war between the United States (US) and Iran. Earlier in the day, a US official confirmed that technical talks with Iran continued, despite President Donald Trump declaring that the memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Tehran is over. US President Trump also said late Wednesday that he had a conversation with Iran, adding that the nation wants the deal badly. However, he doesn’t believe that Iran would honor the deal, CNBC reported. Meanwhile, the downside in oil prices will likely remain limited, as the exchange of attacks between the US and Iran are

The post Oil: Brent retraces gains on fragile ceasefire – Rabobank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz notes that Brent Oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained despite a nominal ceasefire between the US and Iran. War insurance costs have risen sharply and shipowners are being advised to pause Hormuz voyages. Brent crude briefly traded above $80/bbl before retracing to around $76/bbl as markets stayed optimistic. Hormuz risks and Brent price swings “According to Bloomberg, the Joint Maritime Information Center said that traffic through the Strait remains at “reduced levels,” (around 24% of pre-war transit) even though US-assisted vessel transits have been largely uninhibited.” “Reuters reports that “some war insurers advise shipowners to pause Hormuz voyages after attacks,” adding that “war insurance for ships inside the Gulf has already ticked higher towards 3% of a vessel’s value, up from 2% at the end of last week.” Meanwhile,

The post Polymarket prices BTC above $60K at 99% for July 11 as $64K stays 50-50 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 10, 2026 08:09 A live-markets roundup said bitcoin traded just above $63,000, up about 1.6% in 24 hours, as bitcoin ETFs returned to outflows and ether funds kept seeing inflows. Polymarket prices BTC above $60K at 99% for July 11 as $64K stays 50-50 Polymarket’s BTC July 11 Ladder Holds Steady After ETF Outflow Headlines, Keeping the Cutoff Near $64K Polymarket’s Bitcoin price ladder for July 11 is pricing a high likelihood that BTC clears lower strikes, with $339,540 matched and the $52,000 line sitting at 99.95% Yes. The cue for attention is a market-news update pointing to mixed crypto fund flows and bitcoin holding near $63,000, but the ladder shows where traders draw the real cutoff. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies BTC is above $60,000 on July 11 at 99.35% Yes (0.65% No), while $64,000 is essentially a coin flip at 49.5% Yes (50

The post Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loom appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 10, 2026 08:03 With World Cup quarter-finals now framed as tense, high-stakes tests like Spain vs Belgium and France vs Morocco, attention is turning to who can shine on the biggest stage. Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loom Polymarket Holds Golden Ball Odds Flat as World Cup Quarter-Final Catalysts Fail to Create a Favorite Polymarket’s “World Cup: Golden Ball Winner” market is printing a dead-even leaderboard, with the current leading outcome (Player A) at 50% on about $3,979,003 in volume. The quarter-final news cycle is the obvious catalyst to watch, but the market’s pricing is still signaling maximum uncertainty rather than a breakout favorite. Key Takeaways Prediction: Player A is the leading outcome at 50% implied odds (with other listed players also at 50%). Basis: Despite quarter-final

The post United States Dollar Index extends losses as US and Iran attempt to resume talks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading lower for the third consecutive day on Friday. A tense calm in Iran and news that mediating countries are working to bring Washington and Tehran back to the negotiating table are allowing a mild appetite for risk and weighing on the safe-haven US Dollar (USD). The Dollar Index, which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of six peers, is trading at 100.75 at the time of writing after bouncing from levels a few pips shy of the last three weeks’ low of 100.56.  US and Iranian forces have paused the tit-for-tat strikes launched over the previous two days while Qatar and Pakistan work to resume the peace process. A US official cited by CNN affirmed earlier on Friday that the US has been striking and then pausing deliberately to avoid escalation and let diplomacy work. The rebound in oil prices benefits the USD Tra

The intelligence sharing and military tensions could lead to sustained higher oil prices, complicating global economic conditions and impacting crypto. The post Israel shares intelligence with US on alleged Iranian plot to kill Trump, rattling crypto markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.