Polymarket traders see 79% chance Fed will not cut rates this year

The post Canadian Dollar steady as trade surplus, Fed outlook cap USD/CAD appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. USD/CAD trades around 1.4205 on Tuesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors balance encouraging Canadian economic data against a US Dollar (USD) that remains supported by monetary policy expectations and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Canada released stronger-than-expected trade figures. Merchandise exports rose 0.9% in May, while imports edged down 0.2%, allowing the trade surplus to widen to CAD$4.24B from an upwardly revised CAD$3.41B in April. This marks Canada’s third consecutive monthly trade surplus. Meanwhile, the Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) eased to 59.7 from 61.3 but remained firmly in expansion territory, signalling that economic activity continues to grow. Despite the upbeat domestic data, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles to gain traction, although higher Oil prices are providing some support. West Texas Intermediate (WT

The post Traders Sue Polymarket, CEO Coplan Over Strategy Market Decision appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Two Polymarket users sued the prediction-market platform, its holding entities and CEO Shayne Coplan in New York state court, alleging the site wrongly resolved a market on whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin. William Wood and Thomas Bush filed the complaint in the Supreme Court of the State of New… Two Polymarket users sued the prediction-market platform, its holding entities and CEO Shayne Coplan in New York state court, alleging the site wrongly resolved a market on whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin. William Wood and Thomas Bush filed the complaint in the Supreme Court of the State of New York, County of New York, on July 3, under index number 158389/2026, according to the filing law firm Burwick Law posted on its X account. The plaintiffs held “Yes” shares in a market asking whether Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) would sell any bitcoin by May 31, 2026. The compla

Two Polymarket users sued the prediction-market platform, its holding entities and CEO Shayne Coplan in New York state court, alleging the site wrongly resolved a market on whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin. William Wood and Thomas Bush filed the complaint in the Supreme Court of the State of New…

The post Euro holds steady as traders assess Fed and ECB interest rate paths appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) and European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day. Inflation risks have moderated as Oil prices have fully unwound their US-Iran war-driven rally following last month’s interim peace agreement, which reopened shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. However, policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic continue to signal that monetary policy is likely to remain restrictive in the coming months, with inflation running above their respective 2% targets. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Tuesday that the “outlook remains fragile,” adding that “upside inflation and downside growth risks remain.” ECB Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch said on Monday that “it seems that

The post Gold: Price dip seen limited as PBoC buying continues – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes Gold fell to USD 4,120 per ounce after fresh Iranian attacks lifted TTF gas and Oil prices, but Fed rate expectations remain unchanged. He argues downside is limited, as the People’s Bank of China has bought Gold for 20 straight months, recently accelerating purchases and adding 33 tons over the last three months on the lower price environment. Chinese demand cushions recent weakness “The price of gold fell to USD 4,120 per troy ounce this morning following Iranian attacks on two cargo ships and an LNG tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, the TTF natural gas price rose significantly, and oil prices also edged up slightly, fueling inflation concerns.” “However, there was no change in Fed rate hike expectations. The market continues to anticipate interest rate hikes by the Fed of around 30 basis points by the end of the year. As a r

Falling energy prices could ease inflation, potentially influencing the Fed's monetary policy towards rate cuts if trends align. The post Falling energy prices may reduce inflation in coming months, says Fed’s Williams appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin has held above $63,000 after last week’s macro-driven rebound, but traders are now weighing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts against rising geopolitical tensions and mounting technical resistance. According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price traded around $63,100…

The plaintiffs say Polymarket added a rule after the fact, turning their winning "Yes" bet on Strategy's Bitcoin sale into a loss.