Wall Street banks restrict staff trading on prediction markets

The post Kalshi vs Polymarket 2026: Fees, Markets & US Legality appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Two years ago the choice in the prediction market space was pretty straightforward. Polymarket was the crypto-native platform Americans weren’t meant to touch while Kalshi was the regulated US exchange that played by the book. Fast forward to today and there are multiple other prediction market platforms like Rothera, Predictdotfun, Opinion, Limitless etc that are looking to bite away at the market share. Despite competition ramping up, Kalshi and Polymarket are by far the leaders in terms of volume, number of trades and open interest.  The line from two years ago, however, has mostly dissolved. Polymarket now runs a CFTC-licensed US arm and despite Kalshi fighting roughly a dozen states in the US over whether sports contracts count as gambling, the latest numbers on combined trading volume between the two platforms hit $47.5 billion in the month of June alone this year. That’s more tha

Haaland's performance reshapes betting dynamics, highlighting the growing influence of individual brilliance on sports prediction markets. The post Norway’s Erling Haaland faces England in World Cup quarterfinal, and the sports betting market is watching closely appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 10:11 A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S. Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks Polymarket Reprices “U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027?” After Renewed Attack Headlines On Polymarket, traders put the chance of a “Yes” on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” at 16.5% (No at 83.5%) on $40.25M matched volume, up 5.0 percentage points from 11.5%. The repricing follows reports of renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, and the move shows how the contract reacts to escalation headlines while still pricing “invasion” as the clear minority outcome. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading outcome is No at 83.5%, with Yes at 16.5% for a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027.

The surge in fan token trading and prediction markets highlights the volatile intersection of sports enthusiasm and crypto investment dynamics. The post France’s World Cup semifinal run is sending fan tokens and prediction markets into overdrive appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, marking its latest move to expand under a regulated derivatives framework. The post Polymarket seeks US regulatory approval for margin trading appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post ETF Inflows Growth Hits $1 Trillion Milestone in 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US exchange-traded fund industry just crossed a threshold that felt theoretical not long ago. ETF inflows growth has been so relentless in 2026 that US-listed ETFs surpassed $1 trillion in net inflows before the calendar reached July — a milestone Goldman Sachs flagged as evidence of what it describes as full-scale growth in a wrapper that has systematically eaten the investment world. Key takeaways US-listed ETFs crossed $1 trillion in net inflows before July 2026, with the industry potentially on pace for $2 trillion by year-end. June 2026 alone generated roughly $210 billion in net inflows, with $103 billion going into equity ETFs. Vanguard’s S&P 500 ETF (VOO) pulled in approximately $78 billion year to date through June 2026. Actively managed ETFs accounted for about 36% of all 2026 inflows, a striking shift for an industry built on passive indexing. Bitcoin ETFs saw roughly $4.2

The post Polymarket Files for Margin Trading License as US Expansion Accelerates appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket files for a U.S. FCM license to offer margin trading as CFTC approval and added user checks remain required. Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, according to Bloomberg. The move could let users trade prediction markets without posting full capital upfront. The application was filed on July 3 through Coming Home GBA LLC. The affiliate applied for a futures commission merchant license with the National Futures Association. Polymarket also needs approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That approval would allow changes to its rulebook for non-fully funded trading. The filing shows how prediction markets are moving closer to regulated financial markets. It also marks another step in Polymarket’s U.S. expansion plans. Polymarket Seeks U.S. Margin Trading Approval Polymarket operates prediction markets tied to real-world even

Polymarket files for a U.S. FCM license to offer margin trading as CFTC approval and added user checks remain required. Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, according to Bloomberg. The move could let users trade prediction markets without posting full capital upfront. The application was filed on July 3 through Coming Home […] The post Polymarket Files for Margin Trading License as US Expansion Accelerates appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.